Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets

$168.1K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 89.5%
Over 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 71.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $168.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (71.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 72¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7.5K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score71.5%$7.5K72¢29¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 8:00 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 71.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 70.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score71.5%70.6%-0.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:29 AM
    MAMadridTime
    $3.64

    Bought 91 Zhejiang Zhiye FC for Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-3.5) at 0.04

  • 09:27 AM
    WOworldcupgoooo
    $7.20

    Bought 20 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.36

  • 09:26 AM
    WOworldcupgoooo
    $49.68

    Bought 138 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.36

  • 09:25 AM
    WOworldcupgoooo
    $26.25

    Bought 75 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.35

  • 09:24 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $191.47

    Bought 255.293332 Yes for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.75

  • 09:21 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $165.00

    Bought 220 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.75

  • 09:17 AM
    ——
    $1.05

    Bought 1.153844 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.91

  • 09:17 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $9.00

    Bought 10 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.9

  • 09:02 AM
    LILimousin
    $3.64

    Bought 14 No for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.26

  • 09:01 AM
    FFff66868
    $200.00

    Bought 370.370371 Over for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54

  • 09:00 AM
    LILightParadox
    $4.90

    Bought 5 Under for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.98

  • 09:00 AM
    MAMadridTime
    $4.90

    Bought 5 Under for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.98

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TO1
todouzai
Event PnL
+$298.21
Volume
$45,099.97
Positions
UnderUnder
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$55.91
Volume
$16,450.07
Positions
OverOverNo+8
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$39.56
Volume
$7,920.83
Positions
OverOverShanghai Haigang FC+6
EM4
emacron
Event PnL
-$34.85
Volume
$5,574.83
Positions
OverYesOver+4
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$48.50
Volume
$5,246.81
Positions
OverOverUnder+1
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Over
FL7
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$27.74
Volume
$2,701.51
Positions
OverUnderZhejiang Zhiye FC+12
CO8
ComingBack
Event PnL
+$125.00
Volume
$1,923.08
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 71.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $168.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 71.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 70.6%, a negative EV Gap of -0.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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