Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets

$232.5K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 82.5%
Over 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 63% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $232.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (63%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 63¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $565 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score63.0%$56563¢37¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:35 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 63% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 64.4% — yielding an impressive +1.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV63.0%64.4%+1.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:15 AM
    ——
    $218.00

    Bought 256.470586 Henan FC for Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) at 0.85

  • 08:43 AM
    VEVenusian
    $35.53

    Bought 187 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.19

  • 08:36 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $46.36

    Bought 244 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.19

  • 08:36 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $3.15

    Bought 5 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $40.92

    Bought 64.952381 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $18.27

    Bought 29 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $15.62

    Bought 24.793651 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $277.28

    Bought 440.126985 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.26

    Bought 2 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $132.30

    Bought 210 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.33

    Bought 8.325 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.4

  • 08:36 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $0.00

    Bought 0.01 Under for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$90.47
Volume
$6,944.34
Positions
UnderOverNo+14
TI2
Tianhe
Event PnL
+$72.68
Volume
$3,160.00
Positions
Under
EM3
emacron
Event PnL
-$59.13
Volume
$2,582.23
Positions
OverUnderOver+5
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$6.46
Volume
$2,329.79
Positions
OverOverOver+1
CO5
ComingBack
Event PnL
-$57.38
Volume
$1,639.34
Positions
Over
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$98.38
Volume
$1,240.13
Positions
UnderOverYes
CH7
CHACHA125655
Event PnL
+$70.00
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Under
GO8
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$63.56
Volume
$949.19
Positions
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FCOverShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 63% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $232.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 63% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 64.4% — an Expected Value gap of +1.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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