Toledo vs. Sacramento State

$204.5K Vol
Nov 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Toledo 94.5%
Sacramento State 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toledo vs. Sacramento State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Toledo O/U 20.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,250% chance of winning. Spread -4.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $204.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Toledo O/U 20.5 (9,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Toledo O/U 20.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -4.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -4.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams to Score Points - Q1, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1Q Moneyline (9,050%), 1Q Spread -2.5 (9,050%), and O/U 35.5 (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Toledo vs. Sacramento State are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Toledo O/U 20.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
2Spread -4.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Both Teams to Score Points - Q19050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
41Q Moneyline9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
51Q Spread -2.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
6O/U 35.59000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
7Toledo vs. Sacramento State8950.0%$61.0K8950¢-8850¢
8Spread -3.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
9Toledo O/U 23.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
10Spread -8.58450.0%$108450¢-8350¢
11Spread -5.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
12O/U 37.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
13Spread -6.58100.0%$1168100¢-8000¢
14Spread -7.57900.0%$107900¢-7800¢
15O/U 39.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
16Spread -9.57250.0%$1677250¢-7150¢
17Spread -11.57050.0%$1.3K7050¢-6950¢
18Spread -10.56900.0%$106900¢-6800¢
19Spread -18.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
20Spread -13.56850.0%$106850¢-6750¢
21O/U 43.56850.0%$8066850¢-6750¢
22Spread -12.56400.0%$206400¢-6300¢
23Spread -14.55900.0%$105900¢-5800¢
24O/U 45.55850.0%$1335850¢-5750¢
25Spread -19.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
26Spread -16.55350.0%$105350¢-5250¢
271H Spread -10.55300.0%$7935300¢-5200¢
28O/U 47.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
29Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
30Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
311H Moneyline5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
32Spread -32.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
33Spread -17.55050.0%$105050¢-4950¢
34Pick-Six Scored5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Spread -3.55005.0%—5005¢-4905¢
39Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Spread -0.55000.0%$1605000¢-4900¢
42Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Spread -7.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
47Spread -8.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
48Spread -10.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
49Spread -13.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
501H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
562H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
582Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
633Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
643Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
653Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
663Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
673Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
684Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
694Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
704Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
724Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Toledo O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Toledo O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Toledo O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Sacramento State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Sacramento State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Sacramento State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Sacramento State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Toledo 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Toledo 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Toledo 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Sacramento State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Toledo 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Toledo 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Toledo 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Sacramento State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Toledo O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1493Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1511H Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1542H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1612Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1643Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1653Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1663Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1673Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1693Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1704Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1714Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1724Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1734Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1744Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1754Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
176Spread -16.54995.0%$104995¢-4895¢
177Spread -17.54995.0%$104995¢-4895¢
178Spread -20.54995.0%$104995¢-4895¢
179Spread -0.54950.0%$1604950¢-4850¢
180Spread -6.54950.0%$1164950¢-4850¢
181Spread -14.54950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
182Sacramento State 1H O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
183Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
184Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
185Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
186Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
187Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
188O/U 49.54850.0%$2.2K4850¢-4750¢
189Spread -20.54800.0%$104800¢-4700¢
190O/U 41.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
191Spread -46.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
192Spread -36.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
193Spread -22.54200.0%$104200¢-4100¢
194O/U 51.54000.0%$26.6K4000¢-3900¢
195Spread -23.53850.0%$1.8K3850¢-3750¢
196Spread -21.53850.0%$2.9K3850¢-3750¢
197O/U 53.53450.0%$28.1K3450¢-3350¢
198Spread -15.53400.0%$223400¢-3300¢
199Spread -25.53250.0%$41.6K3250¢-3150¢
200Spread -24.53150.0%$10.7K3150¢-3050¢
201O/U 75.53040.0%—3040¢-2940¢
2021H O/U 27.52950.0%$8502950¢-2850¢
203Spread -26.52900.0%$3.0K2900¢-2800¢
2041H O/U 30.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
2051H Spread -14.52700.0%$1.2K2700¢-2600¢
206O/U 55.52650.0%$3.1K2650¢-2550¢
207Spread -28.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
208Spread -29.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
2091H Spread -13.52500.0%$2.1K2500¢-2400¢
210Spread -27.52300.0%$5.9K2300¢-2200¢
211O/U 63.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
212Sacramento State O/U 23.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
213Spread -43.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
214Spread -40.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
215Spread -30.52050.0%$8542050¢-1950¢
216O/U 57.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
217O/U 59.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
218Spread -42.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
2191H Spread -15.51850.0%$2791850¢-1750¢
220O/U 61.51800.0%$31800¢-1700¢
221Spread -39.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
222Spread -31.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
2231H Spread -17.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
224Spread -33.51100.0%$7.1K1100¢-1000¢
225O/U 65.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
226O/U 67.51050.0%$5001050¢-950¢
2271Q O/U 10.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2281Q O/U 13.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2291Q O/U 16.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2301Q Spread -9.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2311Q Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2321Q Spread -6.5950.0%$409950¢-850¢
2331Q Spread -5.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2341Q Spread -4.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
235Spread -34.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
236O/U 69.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
237O/U 71.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
238O/U 73.5360.0%$25360¢-260¢
2391Q O/U 19.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 4, 2026

  • 11:00 PM
    TAtAir7
    $7.00

    Bought 116.666667 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:56 PM
    ——
    $1.14

    Bought 19 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:54 PM
    ——
    $1.26

    Bought 21 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:52 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:50 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:48 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:46 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:43 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:42 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $676.80

    Bought 1128 Under for Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 55.5 at 0.6

  • 10:41 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:39 PM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 20 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

  • 10:37 PM
    ECEclipseChaser
    $80.00

    Bought 1333.333334 Sacramento State for Toledo vs. Sacramento State at 0.06

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$3,848.15
Volume
$71,992.41
Positions
ToledoToledoToledo
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$347.05
Volume
$35,410.00
Positions
ToledoUnderUnder+4
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$190.30
Volume
$35,356.00
Positions
UnderUnderSacramento State+7
MU4
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
+$6,075.97
Volume
$26,417.24
Positions
Sacramento State
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$2.73
Volume
$20,789.78
Positions
OverOverToledo+11
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
+$878.74
Volume
$18,782.86
Positions
Sacramento StateSacramento StateOver
MI7
misterblobby
Event PnL
+$83.10
Volume
$16,620.50
Positions
Sacramento State
OU8
Outsid3rTrading
Event PnL
-$16.71
Volume
$16,196.61
Positions
OverOverToledo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toledo vs. Sacramento State"?

As of the latest update, Toledo O/U 20.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,250% win probability, followed by Spread -4.5 at 9,050% and Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $204.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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