Southern Miss vs. Troy

$220.2K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Troy 77.5%
Southern Miss 22.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Southern Miss vs. Troy”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,800% chance of winning. O/U 35.5 follows in second place at 8,700%, while O/U 37.5 sits in third with 8,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $220.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 (9,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 35.5 (8,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 35.5 maintains a 8,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,700¢.
  • O/U 37.5 (8,300%): Sitting in third place with a 8,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 37.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 39.5 (7,950%), Spread -0.5 (7,750%), and Troy O/U 23.5 (7,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.59800.0%—9800¢-9700¢
2O/U 35.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
3O/U 37.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
4O/U 39.57950.0%$1.0K7950¢-7850¢
5Spread -0.57750.0%$147750¢-7650¢
6Troy O/U 23.57650.0%$2007650¢-7550¢
7Spread -1.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
8Spread -2.57550.0%$147550¢-7450¢
9O/U 41.57550.0%$17550¢-7450¢
101H O/U 21.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
111Q O/U 7.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
12O/U 43.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
13Spread -3.56850.0%$1.6K6850¢-6750¢
14Troy O/U 26.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
15Spread -4.56600.0%$626600¢-6500¢
16O/U 45.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
17Spread -5.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
181H Spread -2.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
191Q Moneyline6350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
20O/U 47.56200.0%$2.5K6200¢-6100¢
21Spread -6.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
22Spread -7.55550.0%$5.2K5550¢-5450¢
23O/U 49.55550.0%$3.2K5550¢-5450¢
24Troy O/U 29.55550.0%$4895550¢-5450¢
251H Spread -4.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
261H Spread -5.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
27Spread -8.55300.0%$9.5K5300¢-5200¢
281H O/U 24.55250.0%$3525250¢-5150¢
291H Spread -6.55150.0%$6105150¢-5050¢
30O/U 51.55050.0%$162.7K5050¢-4950¢
312H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
322H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
332H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
343Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Troy 1H O/U 12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Troy 1H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Both Teams to Score Points - Q15050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
471Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Southern Miss 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Southern Miss 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Southern Miss 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Troy 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Southern Miss 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Southern Miss 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Southern Miss 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Troy 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Troy 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Troy 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Southern Miss vs. Troy: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Troy O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Southern Miss O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1311Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1321Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1473Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1534Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1544Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1554Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
156Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
157Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
158Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
159Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
160Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
161Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
162Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
163Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
164Southern Miss O/U 20.54900.0%$3.8K4900¢-4800¢
1651Q O/U 10.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
166Spread -10.54650.0%$14.0K4650¢-4550¢
167O/U 53.54450.0%$184450¢-4350¢
1681H O/U 27.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1691H Spread -7.54250.0%$2894250¢-4150¢
170Spread -13.54150.0%$1.5K4150¢-4050¢
171O/U 55.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
172Troy O/U 32.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
173Troy O/U 35.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1741H Spread -9.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
175Southern Miss O/U 23.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
176Spread -14.53750.0%$3.1K3750¢-3650¢
177O/U 57.53500.0%$1703500¢-3400¢
1781H O/U 30.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
179Spread -16.53450.0%$1653450¢-3350¢
180O/U 59.53150.0%$73150¢-3050¢
181Spread -17.53100.0%$2803100¢-3000¢
1821H Moneyline2700.0%$772700¢-2600¢
183O/U 61.52650.0%$72650¢-2550¢
184Southern Miss O/U 26.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
1851Q O/U 13.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
1861Q O/U 16.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
187Southern Miss O/U 29.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
188Spread -20.52500.0%$9822500¢-2400¢
1891Q O/U 19.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
190Southern Miss O/U 32.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
191Southern Miss vs. Troy2250.0%$8.0K2250¢-2150¢
192Spread -0.52250.0%$142250¢-2150¢
193O/U 63.52200.0%$2822200¢-2100¢
194Spread -1.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
1951H O/U 33.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
196Spread -2.51900.0%$141900¢-1800¢
197O/U 65.51900.0%$71900¢-1800¢
198O/U 67.51550.0%$71550¢-1450¢
199Spread -3.51450.0%$1.6K1450¢-1350¢
200Spread -4.51350.0%$621350¢-1250¢
201Spread -5.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
202O/U 69.51250.0%$71250¢-1150¢
203Spread -6.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
204O/U 71.51100.0%$61100¢-1000¢
205Spread -7.5900.0%$5.2K900¢-800¢
206Spread -8.5800.0%$9.5K800¢-700¢
207O/U 73.5750.0%$6750¢-650¢
208O/U 75.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
209Spread -10.5600.0%$14.0K600¢-500¢
210Spread -13.5350.0%$1.5K350¢-250¢
211Spread -16.5300.0%$165300¢-200¢
212Spread -14.5255.0%$3.1K255¢-155¢
213Spread -20.5180.0%$982180¢-80¢
214Spread -17.5170.0%$280170¢-70¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Southern Miss and Troy, scheduled for October 6 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Southern Miss" if Southern Miss win the game.

This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 10:31 PM
    CAcarlosberry
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 53.5 at 0.56

  • 10:30 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.5

  • 10:23 PM
    ——
    $111.23

    Sold 218.09 Over for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.51

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $16.24

    Bought 29 Over for Troy Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 0.56

  • 10:22 PM
    SASALADITO
    $2.00

    Bought 3.846154 Over for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.52

  • 10:19 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $156.80

    Bought 320 Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.49

  • 10:17 PM
    BIbizonalb
    $43.01

    Bought 93.5 Southern Miss for Spread: Troy (-8.5) at 0.46

  • 10:17 PM
    M4m48935
    $6.07

    Bought 13.2 Southern Miss for Spread: Troy (-8.5) at 0.46

  • 10:17 PM
    ——
    $4.75

    Sold 6.17 Troy for Southern Miss vs. Troy at 0.77

  • 10:14 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $2.58

    Bought 5.265307 Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.49

  • 10:14 PM
    POPortilho004
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 at 0.49

  • 10:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $238.00

    Bought 425 Over for Troy Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$162.70
Volume
$11,085.08
Positions
UnderSouthern MissOver+3
TO2
tomb2456
Event PnL
+$218.21
Volume
$6,487.00
Positions
OverOver
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$19.22
Volume
$3,633.04
Positions
TroyUnderSouthern Miss+1
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$3.42
Volume
$3,207.18
Positions
Southern MissTroyUnder+4
AE5
0xAE82…3024
Event PnL
+$105.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Over
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$0.88
Volume
$2,712.45
Positions
Southern MissOverUnder+11
MR7
Mr.Kirk
Event PnL
-$46.94
Volume
$2,342.14
Positions
TroyUnder
EM8
emacron
Event PnL
-$4.34
Volume
$2,274.65
Positions
UnderUnderSouthern Miss+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Southern Miss vs. Troy"?

As of the latest update, Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,800% win probability, followed by O/U 35.5 at 8,700% and O/U 37.5 at 8,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $220.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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