South Alabama vs. Arkansas State

$708.6K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arkansas State 55.5%
South Alabama 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “South Alabama vs. Arkansas State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 37.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,400% chance of winning. South Alabama O/U 20.5 follows in second place at 9,150%, while O/U 43.5 sits in third with 8,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $708.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 37.5 (9,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 37.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • South Alabama O/U 20.5 (9,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, South Alabama O/U 20.5 maintains a 9,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,150¢.
  • O/U 43.5 (8,850%): Sitting in third place with a 8,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 43.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 35.5 (8,600%), South Alabama O/U 23.5 (8,400%), and O/U 39.5 (8,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 41.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 37.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
2South Alabama O/U 20.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
3O/U 43.58850.0%$1.0K8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 35.58600.0%$88600¢-8500¢
5South Alabama O/U 23.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
6O/U 39.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7O/U 41.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
8O/U 45.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
9O/U 47.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
10O/U 49.57550.0%$7627550¢-7450¢
11O/U 51.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
12Arkansas State O/U 23.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
13O/U 53.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
141H O/U 27.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
15O/U 55.56050.0%$3466050¢-5950¢
16Spread -0.55950.0%$205950¢-5850¢
17South Alabama vs. Arkansas State5650.0%$378.5K5650¢-5550¢
18O/U 57.55600.0%$1.9K5600¢-5500¢
19Spread -1.55350.0%$5.9K5350¢-5250¢
201H O/U 30.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
21Spread -2.55100.0%$6.0K5100¢-5000¢
22South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
23Spread -20.55000.0%$555000¢-4900¢
24Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
261H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
341Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361Q O/U 13.55000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
371Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
381Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
443Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54South Alabama O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55South Alabama O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56South Alabama O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Arkansas State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Arkansas State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Arkansas State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60South Alabama 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61South Alabama 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62South Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Arkansas State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Arkansas State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66South Alabama 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67South Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68South Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arkansas State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Arkansas State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Arkansas State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138South Alabama O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1391H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1401Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1434Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441H Spread -1.55000.0%$4.3K5000¢-4900¢
1451H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1461H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1472H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1512H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1531Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1541Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1551Q Spread -0.55000.0%$3.7K5000¢-4900¢
1561Q Spread -0.55000.0%$3.7K5000¢-4900¢
1571Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1581Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1612Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1642Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1653Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1663Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1673Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1693Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1703Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1714Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1724Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1734Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1744Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1754Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1764Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
177Spread -20.54950.0%$554950¢-4850¢
178Spread -0.54850.0%$204850¢-4750¢
179O/U 59.54850.0%$16.8K4850¢-4750¢
180Spread -3.54450.0%$278.8K4450¢-4350¢
181O/U 61.54450.0%$6.0K4450¢-4350¢
182Arkansas State O/U 29.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
183Spread -4.54150.0%$5684150¢-4050¢
184Spread -1.54100.0%$5.9K4100¢-4000¢
1851H Spread -3.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
186Spread -5.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
187Spread -2.54000.0%$6.0K4000¢-3900¢
188O/U 63.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
189Spread -6.53750.0%$173750¢-3650¢
190O/U 65.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
191Spread -8.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1921H Spread -1.53500.0%$4.3K3500¢-3400¢
193O/U 69.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
194O/U 71.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
195O/U 67.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
196Arkansas State 2H O/U 16.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
197Spread -7.53050.0%$83050¢-2950¢
198Spread -3.53050.0%$278.8K3050¢-2950¢
199O/U 75.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
200Spread -4.52850.0%$5682850¢-2750¢
201Spread -5.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
202Spread -8.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
203Spread -6.52600.0%$172600¢-2500¢
204Spread -10.52500.0%$2772500¢-2400¢
2051H Spread -3.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
206Spread -13.52000.0%$4112000¢-1900¢
207Spread -7.51900.0%$81900¢-1800¢
208Spread -14.51800.0%$201800¢-1700¢
209O/U 73.51750.0%$1291750¢-1650¢
210Spread -16.51550.0%$4941550¢-1450¢
211Spread -10.51350.0%$2771350¢-1250¢
212Spread -13.51250.0%$4111250¢-1150¢
213Spread -16.51100.0%$4941100¢-1000¢
214Spread -14.5750.0%$20750¢-650¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between South Alabama and Arkansas State, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "South Alabama" if South Alabama win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 10:21 PM
    N4n4k
    $3.00

    Bought 5.08 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:18 PM
    LILimousin
    $37.17

    Bought 63 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:15 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $6.20

    Bought 10.508475 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:14 PM
    RORODRIGOGARCIAGA
    $21.00

    Bought 35.593221 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:14 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.13

    Bought 7 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:14 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $69.36

    Bought 117.559321 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $59.00

    Bought 100 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:13 PM
    LILightParadox
    $1.62

    Bought 6 Arkansas State for Spread: Arkansas State (-10.5) at 0.27

  • 10:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $10.03

    Bought 17 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:13 PM
    VEVenusian
    $661.39

    Bought 1121 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:12 PM
    0X0x05b35deBb8D22aC68D8DD4F1b99bCD8Fc0CB45C3-1790760001602
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389831 Arkansas State for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at 0.59

  • 10:12 PM
    LILimousin
    $7.56

    Bought 28 Arkansas State for Spread: Arkansas State (-10.5) at 0.27

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$1,087.64
Volume
$25,134.56
Positions
Arkansas StateArkansas StateArkansas State+1
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$125.45
Volume
$23,339.95
Positions
South Alabama
IM3
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$639.86
Volume
$14,219.00
Positions
South Alabama
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$26.20
Volume
$13,413.32
Positions
OverSouth AlabamaUnder+3
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$19.36
Volume
$13,153.27
Positions
South AlabamaSouth AlabamaSouth Alabama
FO6
Forecastication2
Event PnL
+$62.98
Volume
$8,659.00
Positions
Arkansas StateArkansas StateOver+3
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$2.34
Volume
$7,696.00
Positions
Arkansas StateArkansas State
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$38.48
Volume
$7,695.47
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "South Alabama vs. Arkansas State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 37.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,400% win probability, followed by South Alabama O/U 20.5 at 9,150% and O/U 43.5 at 8,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $708.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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