Oklahoma vs. Michigan

$45.4K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Oklahoma 58.5%
Michigan 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Oklahoma vs. Michigan”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Oklahoma vs. Michigan is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,700% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 6,400%, while O/U 45.5 sits in third with 5,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $45.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Oklahoma vs. Michigan (6,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Oklahoma vs. Michigan is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $45.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (6,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 6,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,400¢.
  • O/U 45.5 (5,100%): Sitting in third place with a 5,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 45.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 44.5 (5,050%), Oklahoma O/U 0.5 (5,050%), and Oklahoma O/U 2.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Oklahoma O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Oklahoma vs. Michigan6700.0%$45.5K6700¢-6600¢
2Spread -1.56400.0%6400¢-6300¢
3O/U 45.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
4O/U 44.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Oklahoma O/U 0.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Oklahoma O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Oklahoma O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Michigan O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Oklahoma O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Michigan O/U 0.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Michigan O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13O/U 46.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
14Spread: Michigan (-1.5)2900.0%2900¢-2800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Michigan, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game.

This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 11:29 AM
    NInigiri99
    $32.13

    Bought 63 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 11:29 AM
    NInigiri99
    $11.22

    Bought 22 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 07:28 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.02

    Bought 2 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 03:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $127.50

    Bought 250 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 03:41 AM
    NInigiri99
    $51.00

    Bought 100 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 01:38 AM
    NInigiri99
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 01:37 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 01:26 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.10

    Bought 10 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 12:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.10

    Bought 10 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 12:22 AM
    GAGaditima
    $199.40

    Bought 390.99 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

  • 12:14 AM
    GAGaditima
    $812.63

    Bought 1593.39 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.51

Sep 4, 2026

  • 12:43 AM
    WAWaterGuy
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Oklahoma for Oklahoma vs. Michigan at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IM1
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$5,981.44
Volume
$44,195.00
Positions
Michigan
OM2
omoi0i0
Event PnL
+$2,624.78
Volume
$23,018.22
Positions
Oklahoma
PA3
Painfulvoid
Event PnL
+$1,586.07
Volume
$10,603.16
Positions
Oklahoma
JO4
jole24
Event PnL
+$1,102.29
Volume
$6,680.53
Positions
Oklahoma
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$12.58
Volume
$2,618.08
Positions
Oklahoma
NI6
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$2.54
Volume
$1,608.00
Positions
Oklahoma
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$31.05
Volume
$506.48
Positions
Michigan
EQ8
eqzwe103qwie
Event PnL
+$45.02
Volume
$320.93
Positions
Oklahoma

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Oklahoma vs. Michigan"?

As of the latest update, Oklahoma vs. Michigan leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,700% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 6,400% and O/U 45.5 at 5,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $45.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started