North Texas vs. Texas State

$256.8K Vol
Sep 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Texas State 74.5%
North Texas 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “North Texas vs. Texas State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 52.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,750% chance of winning. O/U 58.5 follows in second place at 9,250%, while 1H O/U 25.5 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $256.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 52.5 (9,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 52.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $610 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 58.5 (9,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 58.5 maintains a 9,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,250¢.
  • 1H O/U 25.5 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1H O/U 25.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1H O/U 28.5 (9,050%), 1H O/U 31.5 (9,050%), and 1H O/U 34.5 (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1Q Spread -0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 52.59750.0%$6109750¢-9650¢
2O/U 58.59250.0%$1.0K9250¢-9150¢
31H O/U 25.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
41H O/U 28.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
51H O/U 31.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
61H O/U 34.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
71Q Spread -0.59050.0%$4829050¢-8950¢
81Q Spread -1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
91Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
10North Texas 1H O/U 12.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
11Texas State 1H O/U 14.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
12Texas State 1H O/U 16.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
13Texas State 1H O/U 18.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
14O/U 62.59000.0%$8.2K9000¢-8900¢
15O/U 66.58250.0%$1.5K8250¢-8150¢
161H O/U 37.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
17O/U 70.58000.0%8000¢-7900¢
18O/U 64.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
19O/U 76.57600.0%$147600¢-7500¢
20Texas State O/U 34.57100.0%7100¢-7000¢
21Spread -3.57000.0%$6257000¢-6900¢
22Spread -1.56900.0%$10.1K6900¢-6800¢
23Spread -2.56800.0%$72.5K6800¢-6700¢
24Spread -7.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
25O/U 82.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
26Spread -4.55550.0%$5385550¢-5450¢
27Spread -5.55400.0%$2.2K5400¢-5300¢
28Spread -6.55250.0%$55250¢-5150¢
29O/U 46.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
302H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31North Texas O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Texas State O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
331H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
353Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
364Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Texas State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Spread -18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Spread -9.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
46Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
47Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48Spread -18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
49Spread -19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
50Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
51O/U 42.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
52O/U 44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
53O/U 48.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54O/U 50.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55O/U 54.55000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
56O/U 56.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
57O/U 60.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
58O/U 68.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59O/U 72.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
60O/U 74.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61O/U 78.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62O/U 80.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
631H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
641H Spread -0.55000.0%$295000¢-4900¢
651H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
661H Spread -2.55000.0%$185000¢-4900¢
671H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
681H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
692H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
712H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
722H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
732H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
742H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
752H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
762H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
772H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
782H O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
792H O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
802Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
812Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
822Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
832Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
842Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
852Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
862Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
872Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
882Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
892Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
902Q O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
913Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
923Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
933Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
943Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
953Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
963Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
973Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
983Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
993Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1003Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1013Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1024Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1034Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1044Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1054Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1064Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1074Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1084Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1094Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1104Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1114Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1124Q O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
113North Texas O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
114North Texas O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
115North Texas O/U 30.55000.0%$1.5K5000¢-4900¢
116North Texas O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
117North Texas O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
118Texas State O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
119Texas State O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
120Texas State O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121Texas State O/U 37.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
122North Texas 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
123North Texas 1H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
124North Texas 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
125North Texas 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
126North Texas 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
127Texas State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
128Texas State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
129Texas State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
130Spread -16.54850.0%$1704850¢-4750¢
131Spread -11.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
132Spread -6.54500.0%$54500¢-4400¢
133Spread -10.54100.0%$4.6K4100¢-4000¢
134Spread -5.53200.0%$2.2K3200¢-3100¢
135North Texas vs. Texas State2650.0%$167.9K2650¢-2550¢
136Spread -1.52300.0%$10.1K2300¢-2200¢
137Spread -4.52100.0%$5382100¢-2000¢
138Spread -3.51800.0%$6251800¢-1700¢
139Spread -2.51800.0%$72.5K1800¢-1700¢
1401Q Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
1411Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1421Q Spread -1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1431Q Spread -0.5950.0%$482950¢-850¢
144Spread -14.5650.0%$684650¢-550¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between North Texas and Texas State, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "North Texas" if North Texas win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:05 PM
    WHwhispercatalyst
    $6.90

    Bought 9.86 Over for North Texas vs. Texas State: O/U 52.5 at 0.7

  • 11:53 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.35

    Bought 5 North Texas for Spread: North Texas (-6.5) at 0.27

  • 11:51 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $16.74

    Bought 31 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.54

  • 11:36 AM
    $39.27

    Bought 72.722223 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.54

  • 11:17 AM
    DEdelmore
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Under for North Texas vs. Texas State: O/U 62.5 at 0.51

  • 11:17 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.64

    Bought 18.19 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:15 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $34.70

    Bought 65.48 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:10 AM
    $8.72

    Bought 16.452831 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:10 AM
    $14.72

    Bought 27.773585 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:09 AM
    $4.90

    Bought 9.245282 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:08 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.02

    Bought 45.33 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 11:07 AM
    $23.55

    Bought 44.433963 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$287.36
Volume
$48,360.66
Positions
North Texas
SP2
sportsdood
Event PnL
+$95.00
Volume
$19,000.00
Positions
Texas State
ST3
Stonktrader
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Texas State
DO4
donchonx
Event PnL
+$45.62
Volume
$9,123.00
Positions
Texas State
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$37.26
Volume
$8,541.00
Positions
North TexasNorth TexasOver
616
0x613c…30fb
Event PnL
-$41.27
Volume
$8,256.63
Positions
Texas StateTexas State
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$37.76
Volume
$7,306.86
Positions
Texas StateNorth TexasNorth Texas+2
PH8
phonesculptor
Event PnL
+$30.69
Volume
$6,131.07
Positions
Texas State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "North Texas vs. Texas State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 52.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,750% win probability, followed by O/U 58.5 at 9,250% and 1H O/U 25.5 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $256.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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