
North Texas vs. Texas State
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “North Texas vs. Texas State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 52.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,750% chance of winning. O/U 58.5 follows in second place at 9,250%, while 1H O/U 25.5 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $256.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 52.5 (9,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 52.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $610 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 58.5 (9,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 58.5 maintains a 9,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,250¢.
- 1H O/U 25.5 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1H O/U 25.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes 1H O/U 28.5 (9,050%), 1H O/U 31.5 (9,050%), and 1H O/U 34.5 (9,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1Q Spread -0.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 52.5 | 9750.0% | $610 | 9750¢ | -9650¢ |
| 2 | O/U 58.5 | 9250.0% | $1.0K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 3 | 1H O/U 25.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | 1H O/U 28.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | 1H O/U 31.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | 1H O/U 34.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 9050.0% | $482 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 9 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 10 | North Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 11 | Texas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 12 | Texas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 13 | Texas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 14 | O/U 62.5 | 9000.0% | $8.2K | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 15 | O/U 66.5 | 8250.0% | $1.5K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 16 | 1H O/U 37.5 | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 17 | O/U 70.5 | 8000.0% | — | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 18 | O/U 64.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 19 | O/U 76.5 | 7600.0% | $14 | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 20 | Texas State O/U 34.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 21 | Spread -3.5 | 7000.0% | $625 | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -1.5 | 6900.0% | $10.1K | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 6800.0% | $72.5K | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 24 | Spread -7.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 25 | O/U 82.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 26 | Spread -4.5 | 5550.0% | $538 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 27 | Spread -5.5 | 5400.0% | $2.2K | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 28 | Spread -6.5 | 5250.0% | $5 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 29 | O/U 46.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 30 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | North Texas O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Texas State O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Texas State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | $2.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | O/U 42.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | O/U 44.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | O/U 48.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | O/U 50.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | O/U 54.5 | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | O/U 56.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | O/U 60.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | O/U 68.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | O/U 72.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | O/U 74.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | O/U 78.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | O/U 80.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $29 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | $18 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | 2H O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | 2Q O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 2Q O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | 2Q O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 2Q O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | 2Q O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 4Q O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | North Texas O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | North Texas O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | North Texas O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | $1.5K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | North Texas O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | North Texas O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Texas State O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Texas State O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Texas State O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Texas State O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | North Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | North Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | North Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | North Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | North Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Texas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Texas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Texas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Spread -16.5 | 4850.0% | $170 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 131 | Spread -11.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 132 | Spread -6.5 | 4500.0% | $5 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 133 | Spread -10.5 | 4100.0% | $4.6K | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 134 | Spread -5.5 | 3200.0% | $2.2K | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 135 | North Texas vs. Texas State | 2650.0% | $167.9K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 136 | Spread -1.5 | 2300.0% | $10.1K | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 137 | Spread -4.5 | 2100.0% | $538 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 138 | Spread -3.5 | 1800.0% | $625 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 139 | Spread -2.5 | 1800.0% | $72.5K | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 140 | 1Q Moneyline | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 141 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 142 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 143 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 950.0% | $482 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 144 | Spread -14.5 | 650.0% | $684 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming college football game between North Texas and Texas State, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "North Texas" if North Texas win the game.
This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 19, 2026
- 12:05 PMWHwhispercatalyst$6.90
Bought 9.86 Over for North Texas vs. Texas State: O/U 52.5 at 0.7
- 11:53 AMFOForecastication2$1.35
Bought 5 North Texas for Spread: North Texas (-6.5) at 0.27
- 11:51 AMPUpurplegatto$16.74
Bought 31 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.54
- 11:36 AM——$39.27
Bought 72.722223 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.54
- 11:17 AMDEdelmore$100.00
Bought 196.078432 Under for North Texas vs. Texas State: O/U 62.5 at 0.51
- 11:17 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.64
Bought 18.19 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:15 AMMOmooseborzoi$34.70
Bought 65.48 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:10 AM——$8.72
Bought 16.452831 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:10 AM——$14.72
Bought 27.773585 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:09 AM——$4.90
Bought 9.245282 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:08 AMMOmooseborzoi$24.02
Bought 45.33 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 11:07 AM——$23.55
Bought 44.433963 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-2.5) at 0.53
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "North Texas vs. Texas State"?
As of the latest update, O/U 52.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,750% win probability, followed by O/U 58.5 at 9,250% and 1H O/U 25.5 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $256.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
