New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

$120.7K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Missouri State 69.5%
New Mexico State 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New Mexico State vs. Missouri State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 39.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 4Q O/U 7.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while O/U 35.5 sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $120.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 39.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 39.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $39 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 4Q O/U 7.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 4Q O/U 7.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • O/U 35.5 (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 35.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 37.5 (9,000%), O/U 41.5 (9,000%), and 4Q O/U 10.5 (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 4Q O/U 13.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 39.59995.0%$399995¢-9895¢
24Q O/U 7.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3O/U 35.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 37.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
5O/U 41.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
64Q O/U 10.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
74Q O/U 13.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
8O/U 45.58000.0%$6.0K8000¢-7900¢
9Missouri State O/U 23.55715.0%$55715¢-5615¢
10O/U 49.55400.0%$2.0K5400¢-5300¢
11New Mexico State O/U 23.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
12O/U 43.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
13Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 59.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21O/U 61.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 65.55000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
314Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
324Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33New Mexico State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34New Mexico State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35New Mexico State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Missouri State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Missouri State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Missouri State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Missouri State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40New Mexico State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Missouri State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Missouri State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Missouri State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1032H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1041Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1054Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
107Spread -20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
108O/U 47.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
109O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
110Spread -1.54730.0%$36.9K4730¢-4630¢
111New Mexico State vs. Missouri State4160.0%$64.0K4160¢-4060¢
112Spread -1.54150.0%$36.9K4150¢-4050¢
113Spread -2.53400.0%$2773400¢-3300¢
114O/U 51.53250.0%$4233250¢-3150¢
115Spread -2.53200.0%$2773200¢-3100¢
116O/U 53.52800.0%$3472800¢-2700¢
117O/U 57.51950.0%$3811950¢-1850¢
118Spread -3.51900.0%$961900¢-1800¢
119Spread -4.51550.0%$101550¢-1450¢
120Spread -3.51500.0%$961500¢-1400¢
121Spread -4.51355.0%$101355¢-1255¢
122O/U 63.51310.0%$1.3K1310¢-1210¢
123Spread -5.51205.0%$791205¢-1105¢
124Spread -5.51200.0%$791200¢-1100¢
125Spread -6.5900.0%$400900¢-800¢
126Spread -6.5900.0%$400900¢-800¢
127Spread -7.5350.0%$396350¢-250¢
128Spread -7.5275.0%$396275¢-175¢
129O/U 69.5240.0%—240¢-140¢
130Spread -13.5190.0%$1.3K190¢-90¢
131Spread -10.5185.0%—185¢-85¢
132Spread -10.5160.0%—160¢-60¢
133Spread -13.5145.0%$1.3K145¢-45¢
134Spread -14.555.0%—55¢45¢
135Spread -16.535.0%$1035¢65¢
136Spread -14.535.0%—35¢65¢
137Spread -16.535.0%$1035¢65¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Missouri State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:30 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $0.14

    Sold 13.82 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.01

  • 10:29 PM
    TItinynarwhal
    $4.11

    Bought 68.494916 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.06

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $4.48

    Bought 89.6 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 20.6 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    SEseeyouanymore
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 51.5 at 0.16

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $16.91

    Bought 338.22 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    TItinynarwhal
    $14.61

    Bought 243.559323 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.06

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $231.84

    Bought 414 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $85.75

    Bought 285.833334 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 45.5 at 0.3

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
-$9,894.28
Volume
$43,504.00
Positions
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
BO2
BoggsFromShawshank
Event PnL
+$3,268.30
Volume
$14,210.00
Positions
Missouri State
CU3
CUTJALENHURTS
Event PnL
+$849.48
Volume
$10,540.98
Positions
Missouri State
BO4
Bozos14
Event PnL
+$2,200.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Missouri State
HE5
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$2,250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Missouri State
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
+$2,299.24
Volume
$9,996.68
Positions
Missouri State
657
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$1,329.05
Volume
$9,677.96
Positions
New Mexico StateMissouri State
PA8
PacersThreeandahalf
Event PnL
+$471.57
Volume
$7,254.99
Positions
Missouri State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New Mexico State vs. Missouri State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 39.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 4Q O/U 7.5 at 9,950% and O/U 35.5 at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $120.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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