Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

$350.8K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Notre Dame 96.5%
North Carolina 3.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Notre Dame vs. North Carolina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 35.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Notre Dame vs. North Carolina follows in second place at 9,850%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 9,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $350.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 35.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 35.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Notre Dame vs. North Carolina (9,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Notre Dame vs. North Carolina maintains a 9,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,850¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (9,750%): Sitting in third place with a 9,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -4.5 (9,650%), Spread -1.5 (9,615%), and Spread -5.5 (9,420%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 39.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 35.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
2Notre Dame vs. North Carolina9850.0%$124.3K9850¢-9750¢
3Spread -2.59750.0%$419750¢-9650¢
4Spread -4.59650.0%$6689650¢-9550¢
5Spread -1.59615.0%$709615¢-9515¢
6Spread -5.59420.0%$2599420¢-9320¢
7O/U 39.59400.0%$1129400¢-9300¢
8Spread -6.59350.0%$189350¢-9250¢
9Spread -7.59200.0%$409200¢-9100¢
10Spread -10.58900.0%$2.5K8900¢-8800¢
11Spread -11.58800.0%$4828800¢-8700¢
12Spread -13.58500.0%$1.3K8500¢-8400¢
13Spread -14.58150.0%$6608150¢-8050¢
14O/U 37.58000.0%$3328000¢-7900¢
15O/U 41.57850.0%$277850¢-7750¢
16O/U 43.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
17O/U 45.57700.0%$6.1K7700¢-7600¢
18O/U 47.57700.0%$41.9K7700¢-7600¢
19Spread -16.57600.0%$537600¢-7500¢
20Spread -17.57500.0%$87500¢-7400¢
213Q O/U 10.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
22Spread -8.56650.0%$186650¢-6550¢
23Spread -3.56600.0%$1226600¢-6500¢
24Spread -15.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
25Spread -20.56450.0%$86450¢-6350¢
26Spread -18.56400.0%$246400¢-6300¢
273Q Spread -2.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
28O/U 49.56250.0%$1176250¢-6150¢
29Spread -19.56250.0%$596250¢-6150¢
303Q Spread -6.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
31O/U 51.55900.0%$6.3K5900¢-5800¢
32Spread -21.55750.0%$83.0K5750¢-5650¢
33Spread -22.55650.0%$6505650¢-5550¢
343Q O/U 7.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
35O/U 55.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
364Q Moneyline5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
37Spread -23.55400.0%$3345400¢-5300¢
38O/U 53.55300.0%$2565300¢-5200¢
393Q O/U 19.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
401H Spread -11.55300.0%$2.3K5300¢-5200¢
412Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
423Q O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Spread -25.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
441H Spread -13.55050.0%$1.3K5050¢-4950¢
451H Spread -10.55050.0%$4755050¢-4950¢
46Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Spread -1.55000.0%$705000¢-4900¢
48Spread -3.55000.0%$1225000¢-4900¢
49Spread -5.55000.0%$2595000¢-4900¢
50Spread -7.55000.0%$405000¢-4900¢
51Spread -13.55000.0%$1.3K5000¢-4900¢
52Spread -14.55000.0%$6605000¢-4900¢
53Spread -16.55000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
541H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
551H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
562H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
582H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
623Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
634Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Notre Dame O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Notre Dame O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Notre Dame O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69North Carolina O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70North Carolina O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71North Carolina O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72North Carolina O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73North Carolina O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74North Carolina 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75North Carolina 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76North Carolina 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80North Carolina 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81North Carolina 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82North Carolina 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%$65.5K5000¢-4900¢
99Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Spread -42.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Spread -39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1491H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1501H Spread -12.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
1511H Spread -8.55000.0%$4845000¢-4900¢
1522H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1542H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1612Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1623Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1633Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1643Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1654Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1664Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1674Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1684Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1694Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1704Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1712H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
172Notre Dame O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
173North Carolina O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1741H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1752Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1763Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
177Spread -2.54950.0%$414950¢-4850¢
178Spread -6.54950.0%$184950¢-4850¢
179Spread -8.54950.0%$184950¢-4850¢
180Spread -20.54950.0%$84950¢-4850¢
1812H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1822Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1832Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
184Notre Dame O/U 26.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
185Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
186North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1872Q Spread -6.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
188Spread -4.54945.0%$6684945¢-4845¢
189Spread -0.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
190Spread -17.54900.0%$84900¢-4800¢
191Spread -24.54900.0%$3514900¢-4800¢
192Spread -10.54850.0%$2.5K4850¢-4750¢
1933Q Spread -5.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1942Q Spread -7.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
195Spread -27.54400.0%$2024400¢-4300¢
196O/U 59.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
197Spread -28.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
198Spread -29.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
199O/U 61.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
2004Q O/U 13.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
201O/U 57.53650.0%$1573650¢-3550¢
202O/U 63.53650.0%$1513650¢-3550¢
203Spread -32.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
204O/U 65.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
205O/U 67.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
206Spread -36.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
207O/U 71.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
208Spread -30.53200.0%$6003200¢-3100¢
209O/U 73.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
210O/U 75.53000.0%$573000¢-2900¢
2114Q O/U 10.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
212Spread -35.51300.0%$61300¢-1200¢
213Spread -38.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
214O/U 69.5850.0%$5850¢-750¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 10:53 AM
    IDIdesOfMarch68
    $1.25

    Bought 2.314815 North Carolina for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.54

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $317.86

    Bought 691 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $188.14

    Bought 409 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 09:38 AM
    NInigiri99
    $36.92

    Bought 71 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 08:51 AM
    DZDZ002
    $1.08

    Sold 15.47 North Carolina for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.07

  • 08:26 AM
    LIliverpoolfc
    $10.00

    Bought 10.752685 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 08:12 AM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1,046.01

    Bought 2051 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $51.00

    Bought 100 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:40 AM
    ROrookie888
    $100.05

    Bought 161.370968 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

  • 07:27 AM
    ROrookie888
    $200.00

    Bought 322.580644 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$306.72
Volume
$46,801.00
Positions
Notre DameNotre DameNotre Dame+2
KC2
Kch-Temp
Event PnL
-$164.61
Volume
$40,544.92
Positions
Notre Dame
MO3
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$139.44
Volume
$33,577.03
Positions
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+1
SA4
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$146.23
Volume
$29,245.29
Positions
North Carolina
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$23.14
Volume
$23,377.43
Positions
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+3
BA6
bands1
Event PnL
+$100.00
Volume
$19,999.97
Positions
Under
GM7
gmpm2
Event PnL
+$278.46
Volume
$18,563.89
Positions
Notre Dame
MO8
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$225.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
North Carolina

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Notre Dame vs. North Carolina"?

As of the latest update, O/U 35.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 9,850% and Spread -2.5 at 9,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $350.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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