Mississippi State vs. Texas

$628.9K Vol
Nov 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Texas 98.7%
Mississippi State 1.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mississippi State vs. Texas”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,795% chance of winning. Spread -2.5 follows in second place at 9,790%, while Spread -3.5 sits in third with 9,740%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $628.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (9,795%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,795¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -2.5 (9,790%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -2.5 maintains a 9,790% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,790¢.
  • Spread -3.5 (9,740%): Sitting in third place with a 9,740% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -5.5 (9,690%), Spread -4.5 (9,565%), and Spread -6.5 (9,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.59795.0%—9795¢-9695¢
2Spread -2.59790.0%—9790¢-9690¢
3Spread -3.59740.0%—9740¢-9640¢
4Spread -5.59690.0%$2009690¢-9590¢
5Spread -4.59565.0%$2029565¢-9465¢
6Spread -6.59550.0%$4509550¢-9450¢
7Spread -7.59550.0%$2909550¢-9450¢
8Spread -10.59150.0%$3099150¢-9050¢
9Texas O/U 23.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
10Spread -8.59000.0%$659000¢-8900¢
11Spread -11.58850.0%$9308850¢-8750¢
12Spread -13.58650.0%$1948650¢-8550¢
13Spread -14.58500.0%$1.2K8500¢-8400¢
14Spread -16.58200.0%$5.4K8200¢-8100¢
15Spread -17.57800.0%$9067800¢-7700¢
16Spread -20.57200.0%$106.0K7200¢-7100¢
173Q O/U 7.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
184Q O/U 7.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
193Q Spread -2.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
20Spread -21.56700.0%$2.0K6700¢-6600¢
21O/U 35.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
22Spread -23.56150.0%$3076150¢-6050¢
23Spread -22.56100.0%$1086100¢-6000¢
244Q Spread -2.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
252H Spread -6.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
26Spread -28.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
27Spread -29.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
28Spread -32.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
293Q Spread -3.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
30Spread -24.55300.0%$1735300¢-5200¢
31O/U 41.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
32O/U 55.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
33Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342H Spread -9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
352H Spread -10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Spread -17.55000.0%$9065000¢-4900¢
37Spread -16.55000.0%$5.4K5000¢-4900¢
38Spread -6.55000.0%$4505000¢-4900¢
39Spread -4.55000.0%$2025000¢-4900¢
40Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Mississippi State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Mississippi State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Mississippi State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Texas O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Texas O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Texas O/U 32.55000.0%$165000¢-4900¢
55Texas O/U 35.55000.0%$295000¢-4900¢
56Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Texas 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Texas 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Texas 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Mississippi State vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1264Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1274Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Texas O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Mississippi State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1324Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Spread -20.54950.0%$106.0K4950¢-4850¢
134Spread -14.54950.0%$1.2K4950¢-4850¢
135Spread -13.54950.0%$1944950¢-4850¢
136Spread -10.54950.0%$3094950¢-4850¢
137Spread -8.54950.0%$654950¢-4850¢
138Spread -7.54950.0%$2904950¢-4850¢
139Spread -5.54950.0%$2004950¢-4850¢
140Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
142Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
143O/U 59.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
144O/U 61.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
147Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
148Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1494Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1503Q O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1513Q Spread -4.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
152Spread -19.54600.0%$9184600¢-4500¢
153Spread -15.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1544Q O/U 13.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
155O/U 39.54300.0%$3694300¢-4200¢
1563Q O/U 13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
157O/U 37.54250.0%$54250¢-4150¢
158Spread -27.54250.0%$854250¢-4150¢
159Spread -18.54200.0%$1474200¢-4100¢
160Spread -25.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
161Spread -26.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
162Spread -30.53500.0%$33500¢-3400¢
1633Q Spread -7.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
164O/U 43.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1652H O/U 27.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1662H Spread -13.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1674Q O/U 10.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
1683Q O/U 16.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
1694Q O/U 16.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
1704Q Spread -7.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
171O/U 45.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
1724Q O/U 19.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
1732H O/U 30.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
174O/U 47.51900.0%$51900¢-1800¢
175Spread -39.51795.0%—1795¢-1695¢
176Spread -35.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
177Spread -42.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
178Spread -36.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
1793Q O/U 19.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
180O/U 49.51350.0%$96.6K1350¢-1250¢
181O/U 51.51250.0%$1.1K1250¢-1150¢
182Mississippi State O/U 20.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
183Spread -38.5925.0%$3925¢-825¢
184O/U 53.5850.0%$595850¢-750¢
185O/U 57.5450.0%$262450¢-350¢
186Mississippi State O/U 23.5350.0%—350¢-250¢
187O/U 63.5205.0%$1.0K205¢-105¢
188O/U 69.5145.0%—145¢-45¢
189Spread -1.5140.0%—140¢-40¢
190Mississippi State vs. Texas130.0%$403.1K130¢-30¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Texas, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 11:56 PM
    ——
    $10.52

    Bought 23.38 Texas for 2Q Spread: Texas (-7.5) at 0.45

  • 11:49 PM
    JAjayturners
    $442.10

    Sold 701.75 Texas for 1H Spread: Texas (-10.5) at 0.63

  • 11:48 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $80.85

    Bought 385 Mississippi State for Spread: Texas (-11.5) at 0.21

  • 11:47 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $63.00

    Bought 300 Mississippi State for Spread: Texas (-11.5) at 0.21

  • 11:39 PM
    ANantec
    $6.93

    Bought 15.76 Mississippi State for Spread: Texas (-21.5) at 0.44

  • 11:39 PM
    ANantec
    $2.68

    Bought 5.83 Mississippi State for Spread: Texas (-23.5) at 0.46

  • 11:38 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $52.47

    Bought 99 Texas for Spread: Texas (-23.5) at 0.53

  • 11:38 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $52.47

    Bought 99 Texas for Spread: Texas (-22.5) at 0.53

  • 11:38 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $149.74

    Bought 267.392856 Texas for Spread: Texas (-21.5) at 0.56

  • 11:38 PM
    DCDCAAA
    $50.96

    Bought 98 Mississippi State for Spread: Texas (-23.5) at 0.52

  • 11:35 PM
    VIVictorGouvea
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Mississippi State for 1H Spread: Texas (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 11:33 PM
    DAdawgofthed
    $47.37

    Bought 83.1 Texas for 1H Spread: Texas (-10.5) at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$3,238.80
Volume
$352,432.29
Positions
Mississippi StateUnder
992
999585
Event PnL
+$1,500.72
Volume
$339,999.99
Positions
Texas
3D3
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$13,890.51
Volume
$165,757.75
Positions
Mississippi StateOver
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$1,858.74
Volume
$46,729.16
Positions
TexasOver
B45
0xb4F9…0186
Event PnL
+$1,550.42
Volume
$38,759.53
Positions
Texas
IC6
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$3,222.07
Volume
$24,785.00
Positions
Under
FO7
Forecastication2
Event PnL
+$121.83
Volume
$19,378.30
Positions
TexasMississippi StateMississippi State+1
GM8
gmpm2
Event PnL
+$200.55
Volume
$13,370.00
Positions
Texas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mississippi State vs. Texas"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,795% win probability, followed by Spread -2.5 at 9,790% and Spread -3.5 at 9,740%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $628.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Start trading