Missouri vs. Arkansas

$372.8K Vol
Nov 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Missouri 84.5%
Arkansas 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Missouri vs. Arkansas”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 8,550%, while Missouri vs. Arkansas sits in third with 8,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $372.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -0.5 (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (8,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 8,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,550¢.
  • Missouri vs. Arkansas (8,400%): Sitting in third place with a 8,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Missouri vs. Arkansas, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -2.5 (8,150%), 2Q O/U 7.5 (7,855%), and Missouri O/U 20.5 (7,700%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 35.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2Spread -1.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
3Missouri vs. Arkansas8400.0%$5.2K8400¢-8300¢
4Spread -2.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
52Q O/U 7.57855.0%—7855¢-7755¢
6Missouri O/U 20.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
7O/U 35.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
8Spread -3.57600.0%$27600¢-7500¢
91H Spread -5.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
101H Spread -4.57505.0%—7505¢-7405¢
111H Spread -2.57505.0%—7505¢-7405¢
12Spread -4.57500.0%$217500¢-7400¢
13Spread -5.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
144Q O/U 7.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
15O/U 37.56550.0%$7.0K6550¢-6450¢
16Spread -6.56500.0%$3556500¢-6400¢
172H Spread -2.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
18Missouri O/U 23.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
193Q O/U 7.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
20Spread -7.56000.0%$1596000¢-5900¢
21Spread -8.55700.0%$4935700¢-5600¢
22O/U 39.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
233Q Spread -2.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
244Q O/U 10.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
25O/U 53.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
26Spread -10.55200.0%$131.7K5200¢-5100¢
272H Spread -4.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
28Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
29Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Arkansas O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Arkansas O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Arkansas O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Missouri 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Missouri 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Missouri 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Missouri 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Missouri 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Arkansas 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Arkansas 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Arkansas 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1053Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1063Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1073Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1083Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1094Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1104Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1114Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1124Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1141H Moneyline5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
1152Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1163Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1174Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Arkansas O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Missouri O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201H O/U 24.54995.0%$54995¢-4895¢
1211H O/U 30.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
1222Q Spread -3.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
1232Q Spread -2.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
124Spread -8.54950.0%$4934950¢-4850¢
125Spread -16.54950.0%$2.3K4950¢-4850¢
126O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
127O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
128O/U 75.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1292Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1302Q O/U 13.54950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
1312Q O/U 16.54950.0%$784950¢-4850¢
132Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
133Missouri vs. Arkansas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1342H Spread -5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1352Q Spread -7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1362Q Spread -4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1374Q Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Arkansas 1H O/U 14.54945.0%—4945¢-4845¢
139Arkansas 1H O/U 16.54945.0%—4945¢-4845¢
1401H O/U 33.54940.0%—4940¢-4840¢
1412Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
142Arkansas 1H O/U 12.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1432Q Spread -5.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
144O/U 41.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1453Q Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
146O/U 43.54550.0%$6.4K4550¢-4450¢
1472H Spread -6.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1484Q O/U 13.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1493Q O/U 10.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1502H O/U 24.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1512H Spread -7.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1524Q Spread -3.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
153Spread -13.54100.0%$4.4K4100¢-4000¢
154O/U 45.53850.0%$663850¢-3750¢
1552H O/U 27.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
156Spread -14.53650.0%$1.9K3650¢-3550¢
157Missouri O/U 32.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1582Q Spread -0.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
159Missouri O/U 26.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
160Missouri O/U 29.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1612H O/U 30.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
1623Q O/U 13.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
1632H Spread -9.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
164O/U 47.53050.0%$110.3K3050¢-2950¢
165Spread -16.52950.0%$2.3K2950¢-2850¢
1664Q O/U 16.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
167Spread -17.52650.0%$1.7K2650¢-2550¢
168O/U 49.52250.0%$92.6K2250¢-2150¢
1693Q O/U 16.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1704Q O/U 19.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
171O/U 51.51800.0%$5.9K1800¢-1700¢
172Spread -20.51750.0%$1.3K1750¢-1650¢
173Arkansas O/U 32.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
174Arkansas O/U 23.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
1753Q O/U 19.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
176O/U 55.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
177Spread -1.51020.0%—1020¢-920¢
178O/U 57.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
179Spread -2.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
180O/U 59.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
181Spread -3.5700.0%$2700¢-600¢
182Spread -4.5575.0%$21575¢-475¢
183Spread -5.5510.0%—510¢-410¢
184O/U 63.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
185O/U 65.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
186O/U 61.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
187Spread -6.5405.0%$355405¢-305¢
188Spread -20.5400.0%$1.3K400¢-300¢
1891H Spread -7.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
190Spread -17.5350.0%$1.7K350¢-250¢
191Spread -14.5250.0%$1.9K250¢-150¢
192O/U 69.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
193Spread -7.5205.0%$159205¢-105¢
194O/U 67.5205.0%—205¢-105¢
195Spread -10.5200.0%$131.7K200¢-100¢
1961H O/U 27.595.0%$4995¢5¢
197Spread -13.585.0%$4.4K85¢15¢
1981H O/U 21.545.0%$545¢55¢
1991H Spread -9.545.0%$9845¢55¢
2001H Spread -6.55.0%$6925¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Arkansas, scheduled for October 31 at 7:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 11:36 PM
    NInigiri99
    $346.00

    Bought 692 Arkansas for 1H Spread: Missouri (-6.5) at 0.5

  • 08:46 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Missouri for Missouri vs. Arkansas at 0.78

  • 08:41 PM
    989852342430812723586787621339812376531965
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Over for Missouri vs. Arkansas: O/U 47.5 at 0.54

  • 08:27 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Arkansas for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 08:05 PM
    MRmrkns
    $5.00

    Bought 21.739131 Arkansas for Missouri vs. Arkansas at 0.23

  • 08:05 PM
    12123123..2
    $2.47

    Bought 5.040817 Missouri for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.49

  • 08:05 PM
    MUmumusi
    $6.00

    Bought 12.244898 Missouri for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.49

  • 08:05 PM
    MRmrkns
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Arkansas for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 06:34 PM
    ZHzhangyiyia
    $4.93

    Bought 10.061225 Missouri for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.49

  • 06:34 PM
    AUautumnQD
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Arkansas for Spread: Missouri (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 06:20 PM
    POpolstrt
    $1.10

    Sold 4.39 Arkansas for Missouri vs. Arkansas: 1H Moneyline at 0.25

  • 06:20 PM
    POpolstrt
    $1.23

    Bought 4.392858 Arkansas for Missouri vs. Arkansas: 1H Moneyline at 0.28

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$505.15
Volume
$120,945.36
Positions
OverMissouriOver+5
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
+$5,071.05
Volume
$111,051.76
Positions
UnderArkansasUnder+1
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$232.47
Volume
$68,336.06
Positions
Missouri
BA4
bands1
Event PnL
+$200.00
Volume
$40,000.00
Positions
Arkansas
3D5
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$166.67
Volume
$33,333.00
Positions
Arkansas
2C6
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$163.39
Volume
$32,671.00
Positions
Missouri
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,221.34
Volume
$14,869.18
Positions
UnderUnderMissouri+1
IM8
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
+$226.10
Volume
$6,486.24
Positions
UnderArkansas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Missouri vs. Arkansas"?

As of the latest update, Spread -0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 8,550% and Missouri vs. Arkansas at 8,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $372.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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