Louisville vs. NC State

$94K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Louisville 59.5%
NC State 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Louisville vs. NC State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 35.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. O/U 37.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while O/U 39.5 sits in third with 8,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $94K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 35.5 (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 35.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 37.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 37.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • O/U 39.5 (8,700%): Sitting in third place with a 8,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 39.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 43.5 (8,550%), O/U 41.5 (8,350%), and 4Q O/U 7.5 (8,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 2Q O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 35.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 37.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3O/U 39.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
4O/U 43.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
5O/U 41.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
64Q O/U 7.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
72Q O/U 7.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
8Louisville O/U 20.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
9O/U 45.57300.0%$1557300¢-7200¢
101Q O/U 7.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
11Louisville O/U 23.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
12O/U 47.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
132Q O/U 10.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
14O/U 49.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
153Q O/U 7.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
16NC State O/U 23.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
172Q O/U 13.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
18Louisville vs. NC State5950.0%$5.9K5950¢-5850¢
19Spread -0.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
20O/U 51.55900.0%$8.3K5900¢-5800¢
214Q O/U 10.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
22O/U 53.55750.0%$55750¢-5650¢
23Spread -1.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
241H Moneyline5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
25Spread -2.55500.0%$705500¢-5400¢
26Louisville O/U 26.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
27Louisville O/U 29.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
281Q O/U 10.55400.0%$1765400¢-5300¢
29O/U 55.55200.0%$2035200¢-5100¢
301H O/U 27.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
311H Spread -0.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
322H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
332H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
352H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
362H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
371Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
391H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
401H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
411H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46NC State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47NC State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48NC State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52NC State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53NC State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54NC State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Louisville vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Louisville vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1241Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1251Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1261Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1323Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1343Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1354Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1364Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1374Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139NC State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1434Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1461H Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1473Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1481H O/U 30.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
149Spread -3.54550.0%$8.2K4550¢-4450¢
150O/U 57.54550.0%$58.2K4550¢-4450¢
1512Q Spread -2.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1524Q O/U 13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1533Q Spread -2.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1544Q Spread -2.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
155Spread -4.54250.0%$6.1K4250¢-4150¢
1561H Spread -3.54250.0%$6444250¢-4150¢
1571Q Spread -0.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1584Q Spread -1.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
159Spread -0.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
160Spread -6.54050.0%$9854050¢-3950¢
161Spread -5.54050.0%$204050¢-3950¢
162O/U 59.54000.0%$3.2K4000¢-3900¢
1633Q O/U 13.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
164Louisville O/U 32.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
165Spread -1.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
166O/U 61.53800.0%$243800¢-3700¢
1672Q O/U 19.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
1681H Spread -4.53750.0%$973750¢-3650¢
169Spread -2.53650.0%$703650¢-3550¢
1703Q Spread -3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1711Q Spread -3.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
172NC State O/U 26.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
173NC State O/U 29.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
174Spread -7.53300.0%$1.1K3300¢-3200¢
175O/U 63.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
176NC State O/U 32.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
177NC State O/U 35.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
178Spread -3.53150.0%$8.2K3150¢-3050¢
179Spread -8.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1804Q O/U 16.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1814Q Spread -3.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1821Q Moneyline3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1831Q Spread -3.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
184O/U 65.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
185Spread -4.52850.0%$6.1K2850¢-2750¢
1863Q O/U 16.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
1874Q O/U 19.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1881H Spread -5.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
189Spread -10.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
190Spread -5.52700.0%$202700¢-2600¢
1911Q O/U 16.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
1921H Spread -7.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
193O/U 67.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
194Spread -6.52500.0%$9852500¢-2400¢
1952Q Spread -3.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
196Spread -13.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
197Spread -7.52050.0%$1.1K2050¢-1950¢
198O/U 69.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
199Spread -14.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
2003Q O/U 19.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
201Spread -16.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
202O/U 71.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
2031Q O/U 19.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
204Spread -10.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
205Spread -17.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
206O/U 73.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
207Spread -8.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
208Spread -13.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
209Spread -20.51150.0%$1311150¢-1050¢
210O/U 75.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
211Spread -14.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
212Spread -16.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
213Spread -17.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
214Spread -20.5650.0%$131650¢-550¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and NC State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 08:20 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $90.54

    Bought 148.42623 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 06:37 AM
    ——
    $190.00

    Bought 322.033897 NC State for 1H Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.59

  • 05:16 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $201.30

    Bought 330 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 04:33 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $25.52

    Bought 58 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-2.5) at 0.44

  • 03:38 AM
    DIdinimami
    $542.29

    Bought 889 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $30.00

    Bought 75 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.4

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $60.00

    Bought 113.207548 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:01 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $74.92

    Bought 192.09 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:49 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $13.65

    Bought 25.754717 Over for Louisville vs. NC State: 1Q O/U 10.5 at 0.53

  • 09:33 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.95

    Bought 5 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:32 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $13.65

    Bought 35 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:30 PM
    OKoknah
    $4.68

    Bought 12 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$99.81
Volume
$6,417.65
Positions
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
MA2
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$45.40
Volume
$3,752.32
Positions
NC State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$59.70
Volume
$3,535.45
Positions
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
B44
0xb4F9…0186
Event PnL
+$146.31
Volume
$2,791.69
Positions
NC StateNC State
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$27.57
Volume
$1,611.64
Positions
LouisvilleOverNC State+7
MO6
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$19.11
Volume
$1,273.84
Positions
Under
SN7
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$51.14
Volume
$1,205.30
Positions
LouisvilleOverNC State+3
WE8
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
-$40.03
Volume
$1,173.53
Positions
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Louisville vs. NC State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 35.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by O/U 37.5 at 9,050% and O/U 39.5 at 8,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $94K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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