
Louisville vs. North Carolina
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Louisville vs. North Carolina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. O/U 35.5 follows in second place at 8,300%, while O/U 43.5 sits in third with 8,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $124K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 35.5 (8,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 35.5 maintains a 8,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,300¢.
- O/U 43.5 (8,250%): Sitting in third place with a 8,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 43.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes O/U 37.5 (8,200%), O/U 39.5 (8,100%), and O/U 41.5 (7,900%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 45.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 3 | O/U 43.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 37.5 | 8200.0% | — | 8200¢ | -8100¢ |
| 5 | O/U 39.5 | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 6 | O/U 41.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 7 | O/U 45.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 8 | O/U 47.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 9 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 10 | North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 11 | O/U 49.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 12 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 13 | Louisville O/U 23.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 14 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 15 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 16 | O/U 51.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 17 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 18 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 19 | O/U 53.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 20 | Louisville O/U 20.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 21 | Louisville vs. North Carolina | 5250.0% | $37.4K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 22 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 23 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 24 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Louisville O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Louisville O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Louisville O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | North Carolina O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Louisville 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Louisville 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Louisville 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | North Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | North Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | North Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | North Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | O/U 55.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 123 | O/U 57.5 | 4850.0% | $43.6K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 124 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 125 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 126 | Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | $10 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 127 | Spread -1.5 | 4650.0% | $10 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 128 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 129 | Spread -2.5 | 4450.0% | $316 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 131 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 132 | Spread -2.5 | 4250.0% | $316 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 134 | Spread -3.5 | 3850.0% | $31.1K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 135 | O/U 59.5 | 3850.0% | $4.2K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 136 | Spread -3.5 | 3650.0% | $31.1K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 137 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 138 | Spread -4.5 | 3500.0% | $4.6K | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 139 | O/U 61.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 140 | Spread -4.5 | 3300.0% | $4.6K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 141 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 142 | Spread -5.5 | 3200.0% | $89 | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 143 | Spread -5.5 | 3150.0% | $89 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 144 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 145 | O/U 63.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 146 | O/U 65.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 147 | Spread -8.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 148 | Spread -6.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 149 | Spread -6.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 150 | Spread -8.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 151 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 152 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 153 | Spread -7.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 154 | O/U 69.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 155 | Spread -7.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 156 | O/U 71.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 157 | O/U 67.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 158 | O/U 75.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 159 | Spread -10.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 160 | Spread -10.5 | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 161 | Spread -13.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 162 | Spread -13.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 163 | Spread -14.5 | 1300.0% | $636 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 164 | Spread -14.5 | 1200.0% | $636 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 165 | O/U 73.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 166 | Spread -16.5 | 1100.0% | $1.4K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 167 | Spread -16.5 | 1000.0% | $1.4K | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 168 | Spread -17.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 169 | Spread -17.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 170 | Spread -20.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 171 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 172 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 173 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 174 | 1Q Moneyline | 45.0% | $161 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 175 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | $462 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.
This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:21 PMWAWASDqe$2.00
Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMBBbb238957$6.15
Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMSUsuperaiapi$1.09
Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMLIlightotunnel35$784.21
Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PM——$2.48
Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:08 PMLILimousin$1.29
Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 10:02 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 10:02 PM——$9.80
Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:55 PM——$2.94
Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:54 PM——$2.95
Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 09:51 PMLILimousin$10.60
Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 09:51 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Louisville vs. North Carolina"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by O/U 35.5 at 8,300% and O/U 43.5 at 8,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $124K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
