Louisville vs. North Carolina

$124K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Louisville 62.5%
North Carolina 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Louisville vs. North Carolina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. O/U 35.5 follows in second place at 8,300%, while O/U 43.5 sits in third with 8,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $124K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 35.5 (8,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 35.5 maintains a 8,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,300¢.
  • O/U 43.5 (8,250%): Sitting in third place with a 8,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 43.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 37.5 (8,200%), O/U 39.5 (8,100%), and O/U 41.5 (7,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 45.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score Points - Q19000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2O/U 35.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
3O/U 43.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
4O/U 37.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
5O/U 39.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
6O/U 41.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
7O/U 45.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
8O/U 47.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
94Q O/U 7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
10North Carolina O/U 23.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
11O/U 49.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
124Q O/U 10.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
13Louisville O/U 23.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
142Q O/U 7.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
153Q O/U 7.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
16O/U 51.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
172Q O/U 13.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
184Q O/U 13.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
19O/U 53.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
20Louisville O/U 20.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
21Louisville vs. North Carolina5250.0%$37.4K5250¢-5150¢
222Q O/U 16.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
23Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
24Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
261H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Louisville O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Louisville O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Louisville O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36North Carolina O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37North Carolina O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38North Carolina O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39North Carolina O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43North Carolina 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44North Carolina 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45North Carolina 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49North Carolina 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50North Carolina 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51North Carolina 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1171H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1193Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1204Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
122O/U 55.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
123O/U 57.54850.0%$43.6K4850¢-4750¢
1243Q O/U 10.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1253Q O/U 13.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
126Spread -1.54700.0%$104700¢-4600¢
127Spread -1.54650.0%$104650¢-4550¢
1281H O/U 27.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
129Spread -2.54450.0%$3164450¢-4350¢
1302Q O/U 10.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1312Q O/U 19.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
132Spread -2.54250.0%$3164250¢-4150¢
1332H O/U 30.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
134Spread -3.53850.0%$31.1K3850¢-3750¢
135O/U 59.53850.0%$4.2K3850¢-3750¢
136Spread -3.53650.0%$31.1K3650¢-3550¢
1374Q O/U 16.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
138Spread -4.53500.0%$4.6K3500¢-3400¢
139O/U 61.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
140Spread -4.53300.0%$4.6K3300¢-3200¢
1414Q O/U 19.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
142Spread -5.53200.0%$893200¢-3100¢
143Spread -5.53150.0%$893150¢-3050¢
1441H O/U 30.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
145O/U 63.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
146O/U 65.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
147Spread -8.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
148Spread -6.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
149Spread -6.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
150Spread -8.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
1513Q O/U 19.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1523Q O/U 16.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
153Spread -7.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
154O/U 69.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
155Spread -7.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
156O/U 71.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
157O/U 67.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
158O/U 75.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
159Spread -10.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
160Spread -10.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
161Spread -13.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
162Spread -13.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
163Spread -14.51300.0%$6361300¢-1200¢
164Spread -14.51200.0%$6361200¢-1100¢
165O/U 73.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
166Spread -16.51100.0%$1.4K1100¢-1000¢
167Spread -16.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
168Spread -17.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
169Spread -17.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
170Spread -20.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
1711Q O/U 13.545.0%—45¢55¢
1721Q O/U 16.545.0%—45¢55¢
1731Q O/U 19.545.0%—45¢55¢
1741Q Moneyline45.0%$16145¢55¢
1751Q O/U 10.55.0%$4625¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:21 PM
    WAWASDqe
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    BBbb238957
    $6.15

    Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $1.09

    Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    LIlightotunnel35
    $784.21

    Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    ——
    $2.48

    Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:08 PM
    LILimousin
    $1.29

    Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.80

    Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:55 PM
    ——
    $2.94

    Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:54 PM
    ——
    $2.95

    Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 09:51 PM
    LILimousin
    $10.60

    Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 09:51 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
-$416.08
Volume
$41,938.20
Positions
OverLouisville
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
+$197.86
Volume
$39,572.47
Positions
Under
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$185.64
Volume
$19,318.00
Positions
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
JU4
justwins
Event PnL
+$85.16
Volume
$17,104.31
Positions
Louisville
KC5
Kch-Temp
Event PnL
+$79.96
Volume
$15,989.17
Positions
Louisville
IM6
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$51.69
Volume
$10,337.00
Positions
North Carolina
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$76.89
Volume
$9,536.82
Positions
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
FL8
Flipadelphia
Event PnL
-$855.47
Volume
$7,777.00
Positions
Louisville

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Louisville vs. North Carolina"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by O/U 35.5 at 8,300% and O/U 43.5 at 8,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $124K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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