Liberty vs. New Mexico State

$125.3K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Liberty 85.5%
New Mexico State 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Liberty vs. New Mexico State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Liberty vs. New Mexico State is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,550% chance of winning. Spread -0.5 follows in second place at 8,550%, while O/U 35.5 sits in third with 8,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Liberty vs. New Mexico State (8,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Liberty vs. New Mexico State is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -0.5 (8,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -0.5 maintains a 8,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,550¢.
  • O/U 35.5 (8,550%): Sitting in third place with a 8,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 35.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (8,350%), O/U 37.5 (8,350%), and Spread -2.5 (8,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Liberty O/U 20.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Liberty vs. New Mexico State8550.0%$3.6K8550¢-8450¢
2Spread -0.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
3O/U 35.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
4Spread -1.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
5O/U 37.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
6Spread -2.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Liberty O/U 20.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
81H Moneyline7950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
9Spread -3.57800.0%$8707800¢-7700¢
10Spread -4.57550.0%$87550¢-7450¢
11Liberty O/U 23.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
12Spread -5.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
131Q Moneyline7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
14Spread -6.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
15O/U 39.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
16Spread -7.56750.0%$56750¢-6650¢
17Spread -8.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
18Liberty O/U 26.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
19Spread -9.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
20O/U 41.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
211H Spread -6.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
22Spread -10.55950.0%$185950¢-5850¢
23O/U 43.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
24Spread -11.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
25Spread -12.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
26O/U 45.55550.0%$4825550¢-5450¢
27Liberty O/U 29.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
28Spread -13.55350.0%$42.7K5350¢-5250¢
294Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
301H O/U 24.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
311H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
322H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
33Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
47New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
48New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
571H Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
582H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
621Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
631Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
641Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
651Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
661Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
672Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
723Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
733Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
743Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
753Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
763Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
804Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
814Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Liberty 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Liberty 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Liberty 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85New Mexico State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86New Mexico State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87New Mexico State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Liberty 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Liberty 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Liberty 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91New Mexico State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92New Mexico State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93New Mexico State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1411Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1421Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1451Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1462Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1472Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1513Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1523Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1533Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1543Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1553Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1574Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1584Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1594Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1604Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1614Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
163New Mexico State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
164Liberty O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1652Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1663Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1674Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
168Spread -14.54950.0%$12.2K4950¢-4850¢
169Spread -14.54950.0%$12.2K4950¢-4850¢
170Spread -16.54950.0%$56.3K4950¢-4850¢
171Spread -17.54950.0%$7504950¢-4850¢
172Spread -20.54950.0%$1794950¢-4850¢
1731H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
174Spread -36.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1752Q Spread -4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
176O/U 47.54850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
177Spread -18.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1781H Spread -9.54850.0%$5664850¢-4750¢
179Spread -15.54750.0%$5.0K4750¢-4650¢
180Spread -16.54550.0%$56.3K4550¢-4450¢
1811Q Spread -4.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
182Liberty O/U 32.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
183O/U 49.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
184New Mexico State O/U 32.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
185Spread -17.54200.0%$7504200¢-4100¢
1861H Spread -10.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
187New Mexico State O/U 29.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
1881H Spread -11.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
189Spread -20.53700.0%$1793700¢-3600¢
190O/U 51.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1911H O/U 27.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
192O/U 73.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1931H Spread -13.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
194New Mexico State O/U 35.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
195O/U 53.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
196Spread -29.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
197Spread -21.53300.0%$1963300¢-3200¢
198Spread -22.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
199Spread -23.53000.0%$493000¢-2900¢
2001H O/U 30.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
201O/U 55.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
2022H Spread -6.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
203Spread -24.52600.0%$2362600¢-2500¢
204Spread -19.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
205O/U 57.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
206New Mexico State O/U 23.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
207Spread -26.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
208O/U 59.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
209New Mexico State O/U 26.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
210O/U 61.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
211Spread -30.51600.0%$181600¢-1500¢
212Spread -0.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
213Spread -1.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
214Spread -2.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
215O/U 63.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
216Spread -8.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
217Spread -32.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
218Spread -33.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
219Spread -3.51050.0%$8701050¢-950¢
220Spread -4.5950.0%$8950¢-850¢
221O/U 65.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
222Spread -5.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
223Spread -6.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
224O/U 67.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
225O/U 69.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
226O/U 75.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
227Spread -7.5560.0%$5560¢-460¢
228O/U 71.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
229Spread -10.5430.0%$18430¢-330¢
230Spread -13.5345.0%$42.7K345¢-245¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and New Mexico State, scheduled for November 7 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game.

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 11:45 PM
    KIKissscb
    $300.00

    Bought 566.037736 New Mexico State for 1H Spread: Liberty (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 10:52 PM
    HUhunt111
    $7.00

    Bought 14 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    HAHaagiSports
    $18.36

    Bought 36 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.77

    Bought 9.352942 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $28.38

    Bought 55.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $1.35

    Bought 2.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    FLFlipso007
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    JUjustwins
    $4,658.22

    Bought 9506.57 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 10:46 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.50

    Bought 10 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.25

    Bought 15 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:22 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Liberty vs. New Mexico State: O/U 47.5 at 0.53

  • 10:17 PM
    JCjcasino
    $150.00

    Bought 306.12 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
FeedTheBigBird
Event PnL
-$58.95
Volume
$48,344.87
Positions
New Mexico State
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$324.18
Volume
$37,559.00
Positions
New Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico State+3
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$52.30
Volume
$22,458.27
Positions
LibertyNew Mexico StateLiberty+3
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$149.84
Volume
$20,996.75
Positions
LibertyLiberty
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$47.13
Volume
$13,592.76
Positions
LibertyLiberty
JU6
justwins
Event PnL
+$56.89
Volume
$11,369.22
Positions
Liberty
BA7
Bagwell306
Event PnL
+$99.99
Volume
$9,999.00
Positions
LibertyLiberty
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.84
Volume
$9,623.84
Positions
LibertyUnderNew Mexico State+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Liberty vs. New Mexico State"?

As of the latest update, Liberty vs. New Mexico State leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,550% win probability, followed by Spread -0.5 at 8,550% and O/U 35.5 at 8,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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