Iowa vs. Michigan

$95.3K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Michigan 66.5%
Iowa 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Iowa vs. Michigan”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 18.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,350% chance of winning. O/U 20.5 follows in second place at 9,250%, while O/U 22.5 sits in third with 9,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $95.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 18.5 (9,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 18.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 20.5 (9,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 20.5 maintains a 9,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,250¢.
  • O/U 22.5 (9,200%): Sitting in third place with a 9,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 24.5 (8,650%), O/U 28.5 (8,650%), and O/U 26.5 (8,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 30.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 18.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2O/U 20.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 22.59200.0%—9200¢-9100¢
4O/U 24.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
5O/U 28.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
6O/U 26.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
7O/U 30.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
81H O/U 13.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
9Michigan O/U 16.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
10O/U 32.56950.0%$5006950¢-6850¢
111Q Moneyline6850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
122H Spread -3.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
13Spread -0.56550.0%$916550¢-6450¢
14Spread -1.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
151H O/U 16.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
16Iowa O/U 13.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
17Spread -2.56150.0%$226150¢-6050¢
18O/U 34.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
19Michigan O/U 19.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
20O/U 36.55850.0%$1.7K5850¢-5750¢
211H Spread -0.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
22Spread -3.55550.0%$1.1K5550¢-5450¢
231H Spread -1.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
241H Spread -2.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
252H O/U 19.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
264Q Spread -3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
272H O/U 13.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
28Spread -4.55150.0%$3.9K5150¢-5050¢
294Q O/U 3.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
304Q O/U 6.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
314Q O/U 9.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
321H O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
332H O/U 16.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
342Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
35O/U 38.55050.0%$33.4K5050¢-4950¢
361Q Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
371Q O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
384Q O/U 12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Iowa O/U 16.55050.0%$1.6K5050¢-4950¢
40Iowa 1H O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Iowa 1H O/U 9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42Michigan 1H O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Michigan 2H O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Both Teams to Score Points - Q35050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
471H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
551Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
561Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
571Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
582Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
632Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
663Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
673Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
683Q O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
704Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Iowa O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Iowa O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Michigan O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Michigan O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Michigan 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Iowa 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Iowa 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Iowa 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Michigan 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Michigan 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
842H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Iowa O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
872Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
883Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
894Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
135Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
137Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
138Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
139Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
140Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
141Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
142Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
143Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
144Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
145Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
146Iowa vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
148Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Spread -5.54950.0%$35.4K4950¢-4850¢
1511H O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1522H Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1531Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1542Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1553Q O/U 4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1564Q Spread -5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
157Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
158Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
159Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
160Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1612Q Spread -1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1623Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1634Q O/U 15.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1641Q Spread -3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1653Q Spread -2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
166Michigan 1H O/U 13.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
167Spread -6.54550.0%$2314550¢-4450¢
168O/U 40.54450.0%$6794450¢-4350¢
1691H Spread -3.54450.0%$2174450¢-4350¢
170Iowa 1H O/U 7.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1711Q Spread -0.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1721Q O/U 7.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1734Q Spread -2.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1741Q O/U 10.54050.0%$44050¢-3950¢
1752Q Spread -3.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1761H Spread -5.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
177Spread -7.53850.0%$3273850¢-3750¢
178O/U 42.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1793Q Spread -3.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
180Iowa O/U 19.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
1811H Moneyline3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
182Spread -8.53600.0%$713600¢-3500¢
183Spread -9.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
184O/U 44.53500.0%$6013500¢-3400¢
185Iowa vs. Michigan3350.0%$13.6K3350¢-3250¢
186Spread -0.53350.0%$913350¢-3250¢
187Spread -10.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
188Spread -1.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
189Spread -2.53000.0%$223000¢-2900¢
190Spread -11.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
191Spread -12.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
192Spread -13.52750.0%$3632750¢-2650¢
193O/U 46.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1943Q O/U 13.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
195Spread -4.52350.0%$3.9K2350¢-2250¢
196Spread -14.52350.0%$1812350¢-2250¢
1971Q O/U 13.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
198O/U 48.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
199Spread -16.52050.0%$8402050¢-1950¢
2002Q O/U 16.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
201O/U 50.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
202Spread -8.51400.0%$711400¢-1300¢
203Spread -7.51400.0%$3271400¢-1300¢
204Spread -20.51300.0%$691300¢-1200¢
205O/U 52.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
206Spread -10.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
207Spread -19.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
208O/U 54.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
209O/U 56.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
210Spread -11.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
211Spread -22.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
212O/U 58.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
213Spread -14.5700.0%$181700¢-600¢
214Spread -23.5700.0%—700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Michigan, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.

This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:10 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $33.98

    Bought 99.941177 Iowa for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.34

  • 09:57 AM
    HOHookrush
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 09:00 AM
    PLPlutoski.
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 at 0.5

  • 08:58 AM
    CWcwc2025
    $15.00

    Bought 28.846154 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 08:07 AM
    JCjcasino
    $196.00

    Bought 350 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-3.5) at 0.56

  • 07:54 AM
    APAppleTiime
    $186.15

    Bought 365 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 07:36 AM
    DEdekivagyok
    $3.35

    Bought 5 Michigan for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.67

  • 07:25 AM
    LElee1991
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Michigan for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.67

  • 07:09 AM
    NInigiri99
    $241.23

    Bought 473 Under for Iowa Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.51

  • 06:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Over for Iowa Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.51

  • 06:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $18.95

    Bought 33.24 Iowa for 1H Spread: Michigan (-3.5) at 0.57

  • 06:13 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $228.24

    Bought 671.294118 Iowa for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.34

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$10.62
Volume
$13,597.93
Positions
IowaOverIowa
412
0x418D…7961
Event PnL
-$275.00
Volume
$10,999.98
Positions
Under
9A3
0x9a09…5286
Event PnL
-$49.50
Volume
$10,001.00
Positions
Michigan
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$55.66
Volume
$7,190.71
Positions
UnderMichiganIowa+3
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$11.75
Volume
$6,475.61
Positions
OverIowaIowa+6
IC6
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$160.15
Volume
$6,406.00
Positions
Over
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$58.80
Volume
$3,920.00
Positions
Under
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$7.34
Volume
$3,144.61
Positions
MichiganUnderOver+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Iowa vs. Michigan"?

As of the latest update, O/U 18.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,350% win probability, followed by O/U 20.5 at 9,250% and O/U 22.5 at 9,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $95.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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