Fresno State vs. San Jose State

$261.7K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Fresno State 65.5%
San Jose State 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Fresno State vs. San Jose State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 29.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,250% chance of winning. O/U 31.5 follows in second place at 8,900%, while O/U 33.5 sits in third with 8,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $261.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 29.5 (9,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 29.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 31.5 (8,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 31.5 maintains a 8,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,900¢.
  • O/U 33.5 (8,550%): Sitting in third place with a 8,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 33.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 35.5 (8,300%), O/U 37.5 (7,850%), and O/U 39.5 (7,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like San Jose State O/U 15.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 29.59250.0%9250¢-9150¢
2O/U 31.58900.0%8900¢-8800¢
3O/U 33.58550.0%8550¢-8450¢
4O/U 35.58300.0%8300¢-8200¢
5O/U 37.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
6O/U 39.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
7San Jose State O/U 15.57300.0%7300¢-7200¢
8Fresno State O/U 21.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
9O/U 41.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
10Fresno State vs. San Jose State6550.0%$361.4K6550¢-6450¢
11Spread -0.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
12O/U 43.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
13Spread -1.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
14San Jose State O/U 18.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
151H Moneyline5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
16Spread -2.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
17Fresno State O/U 24.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
18O/U 45.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
191H Spread -0.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
20Spread -3.55350.0%$165350¢-5250¢
211Q Moneyline5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
221H Spread -2.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
23O/U 47.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
242H Spread -2.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
25Spread -4.55050.0%$1.1K5050¢-4950¢
262H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Fresno State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28San Jose State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
292Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
303Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
314Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
321H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
331H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
382H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
461Q Spread -0.55000.0%$735000¢-4900¢
471Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
481Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
491Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
501Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
521Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
531Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
633Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
663Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
673Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
804Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83San Jose State 1H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84San Jose State 1H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85San Jose State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89San Jose State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90San Jose State 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91San Jose State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92San Jose State O/U 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
932Q Spread -1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
944Q Spread -0.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
95Fresno State 1H O/U 13.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
962Q Spread -0.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
97Spread -5.54750.0%$13.2K4750¢-4650¢
981H O/U 24.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
991H O/U 27.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
100Fresno State O/U 27.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1011Q Spread -0.54650.0%$734650¢-4550¢
1021H O/U 30.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
1033Q Spread -1.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
1044Q Spread -1.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
105O/U 49.54550.0%$14.6K4550¢-4450¢
1063Q Spread -0.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
1071H Spread -3.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
108Spread -6.54450.0%$15.0K4450¢-4350¢
109O/U 51.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
1101H Spread -4.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
1111H Spread -5.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
112Spread -7.53800.0%$2.8K3800¢-3700¢
113Spread -8.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
114O/U 53.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
115Fresno State O/U 30.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
116San Jose State O/U 24.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
117Spread -9.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
118Spread -0.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
119Spread -1.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
120Spread -10.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
121O/U 55.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
122Spread -2.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
123Spread -11.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
1241H Spread -7.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
125Spread -12.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
126San Jose State O/U 27.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
127Spread -13.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
128O/U 57.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
129Fresno State O/U 33.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
130Spread -4.52450.0%$1.1K2450¢-2350¢
131Spread -14.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
132O/U 59.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
133Spread -16.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
134O/U 61.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢
135O/U 63.51750.0%1750¢-1650¢
136Spread -7.51600.0%$2.8K1600¢-1500¢
137Spread -19.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
138Spread -8.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
139Spread -20.51450.0%$741450¢-1350¢
140O/U 65.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
141Spread -10.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
142Spread -23.51150.0%$291150¢-1050¢
143O/U 67.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
144Spread -22.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
145O/U 69.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
146Spread -11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
147Spread -14.5650.0%650¢-550¢
148Spread -26.5550.0%550¢-450¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Jose State, scheduled for September 19 at 11:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:21 PM
    $2,511.44

    Bought 4406.035088 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.57

  • 11:21 PM
    G3g3ros
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666667 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 11:20 PM
    $1,812.75

    Bought 2832.421875 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-7.5) at 0.64

  • 11:16 PM
    FAFaroeseNationalist
    $502.50

    Bought 1005 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 11:15 PM
    CLclement21
    $30.60

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.51

  • 10:35 PM
    VIvincetrades
    $1.05

    Bought 7 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 10:32 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,168.03

    Sold 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $7.36

    Bought 16 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $19.24

    Bought 37 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $361.08

    Bought 656.51 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.55

  • 10:30 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,145.57

    Bought 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:16 PM
    NInigiri99
    $21.00

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Fresno State vs. San Jose State at 0.35

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$410.92
Volume
$22,486.11
Positions
San Jose StateUnderSan Jose State+2
IM2
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
+$97.15
Volume
$19,426.16
Positions
Fresno State
WE3
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
-$117.58
Volume
$18,008.79
Positions
Fresno StateFresno StateOver+1
PR4
primm
Event PnL
-$90.00
Volume
$18,000.00
Positions
San Jose State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$191.46
Volume
$12,358.63
Positions
OverSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
NI6
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$3.69
Volume
$4,217.99
Positions
San Jose StateSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$10.01
Volume
$4,133.77
Positions
Fresno StateSan Jose StateUnder
ES8
esportsbetter1
Event PnL
+$20.61
Volume
$4,124.37
Positions
San Jose State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Fresno State vs. San Jose State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 29.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,250% win probability, followed by O/U 31.5 at 8,900% and O/U 33.5 at 8,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $261.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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