Florida State vs. Louisville

$97.6K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Louisville 62.5%
Florida State 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Florida State vs. Louisville”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 37.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. O/U 39.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while O/U 41.5 sits in third with 8,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 37.5 (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 37.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 39.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 39.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%): Sitting in third place with a 8,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 41.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 35.5 (8,800%), 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,750%), and O/U 43.5 (8,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 4Q O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 37.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
2O/U 39.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%$8028950¢-8850¢
4O/U 35.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
52Q O/U 7.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
6O/U 43.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
74Q O/U 7.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
8O/U 45.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
9Louisville O/U 26.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
10O/U 47.57850.0%$367850¢-7750¢
111H O/U 21.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
12Louisville O/U 23.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
132Q O/U 10.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
14Florida State O/U 20.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
15Louisville O/U 29.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
16Florida State 1H O/U 11.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
17O/U 49.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
18O/U 51.57050.0%$57050¢-6950¢
191Q O/U 7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
204Q O/U 10.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
212Q O/U 13.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
221Q Moneyline6850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
233Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
24O/U 53.56700.0%$1556700¢-6600¢
25Florida State O/U 23.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
262H O/U 21.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
271H O/U 24.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
28Spread -0.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
29O/U 55.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
30Spread -1.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
314Q O/U 13.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
32Spread -2.55850.0%$2565850¢-5750¢
331H O/U 27.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
34O/U 57.55750.0%$2.7K5750¢-5650¢
35Florida State O/U 26.55750.0%$6135750¢-5650¢
363Q O/U 10.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
371H Spread -0.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
381Q O/U 10.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
39Florida State O/U 32.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
402Q O/U 16.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
41Florida State O/U 29.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
42Florida State 1H O/U 13.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
43Louisville 2H O/U 12.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
442H O/U 24.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
45Florida State 2H O/U 11.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
461H Spread -1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
47Louisville 1H O/U 14.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
48Spread -3.55150.0%$60.3K5150¢-5050¢
491Q O/U 13.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
50Florida State 2H O/U 13.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
511H Spread -2.55150.0%$1575150¢-5050¢
522H Spread -1.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
53Louisville 1H O/U 16.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
54O/U 59.55050.0%$9.2K5050¢-4950¢
552H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
561H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Louisville 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Florida State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Florida State vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1264Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1274Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Florida State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1324Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Spread -20.54950.0%$374950¢-4850¢
1342H O/U 27.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
135Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
136Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
137Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1381H O/U 30.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1393Q O/U 13.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
140Louisville O/U 32.54900.0%$224900¢-4800¢
141Spread -4.54850.0%$4.8K4850¢-4750¢
142Game Goes to Overtime4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1432Q Spread -1.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1444Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1452Q Moneyline4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
146O/U 61.54650.0%$1004650¢-4550¢
1473Q Spread -1.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1482Q Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
149Spread -5.54550.0%$3164550¢-4450¢
1501H Spread -3.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1511Q Spread -1.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1522Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1531Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
154Spread -6.54350.0%$9734350¢-4250¢
155Louisville 2H O/U 14.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
156Both Teams to Score Points - Q24350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1572H Spread -3.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1583Q Spread -2.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1594Q Spread -1.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
160O/U 63.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1612H O/U 30.54200.0%$54200¢-4100¢
1624Q Spread -2.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1631H Moneyline4100.0%$4.0K4100¢-4000¢
1641H Spread -5.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1652Q Spread -3.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
166Both Teams to Score Points - Q43950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
167Spread -7.53850.0%$2433850¢-3750¢
168Louisville 2H O/U 16.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
169Louisville O/U 35.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
170Florida State vs. Louisville3750.0%$10.6K3750¢-3650¢
1711Q Spread -3.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172Spread -1.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
173Spread -0.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
174O/U 65.53700.0%$1383700¢-3600¢
175Spread -8.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1761H Spread -1.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1771Q Spread -1.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1783Q Spread -3.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1794Q O/U 19.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1802H Spread -5.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1813Q Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1822Q Spread -1.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
183Spread -2.53400.0%$2563400¢-3300¢
184Both Teams to Score Points - Q33400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
185Both Teams to Score Points - Q13350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
186O/U 67.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
187Spread -10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
188O/U 69.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1891Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1904Q Spread -3.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
191Spread -3.52950.0%$60.3K2950¢-2850¢
192Florida State 1H O/U 15.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1933Q O/U 16.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1941Q Spread -3.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
195Spread -4.52650.0%$4.8K2650¢-2550¢
196Spread -13.52650.0%$942650¢-2550¢
197Spread -5.52550.0%$3162550¢-2450¢
198O/U 73.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
199Spread -6.52400.0%$9732400¢-2300¢
200O/U 71.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
201Spread -14.52350.0%$8692350¢-2250¢
202O/U 75.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
2031Q O/U 19.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
204Spread -16.52150.0%$4212150¢-2050¢
2053Q O/U 19.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
206Spread -7.51900.0%$2431900¢-1800¢
207Spread -17.51900.0%$7101900¢-1800¢
208Spread -8.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
209Spread -10.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
210Spread -20.51450.0%$371450¢-1350¢
211Spread -13.51150.0%$941150¢-1050¢
212Spread -14.51000.0%$8691000¢-900¢
213Spread -17.5670.0%$710670¢-570¢
214Spread -16.5550.0%$421550¢-450¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:27 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $120.79

    Bought 257 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $1,576.56

    Bought 3427.31 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.46

  • 09:26 AM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.19149 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $203.34

    Bought 376.56 Florida State for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.54

  • 09:16 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 08:16 AM
    ——
    $1.92

    Sold 3.14 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.61

  • 08:15 AM
    ——
    $1.95

    Bought 3.14516 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 06:56 AM
    0X0x7883DD16F31254193D8f3E89117814c643c8c0f9-1789456794731
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.51

  • 06:14 AM
    PCPCK
    $250.00

    Bought 403.225807 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 05:24 AM
    0X0x34FdC927C1C150012960454cFF4ECe24d4c5458C-1770404648271
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:58 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:53 AM
    ——
    $4.85

    Bought 9.509804 Under for Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

491
0x4924…1188
Event PnL
-$641.05
Volume
$48,682.04
Positions
Florida State
MO2
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$509.52
Volume
$34,584.53
Positions
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$94.19
Volume
$11,292.59
Positions
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$36.73
Volume
$3,673.00
Positions
Florida State
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$16.62
Volume
$3,672.46
Positions
LouisvilleFlorida State
2C6
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$17.14
Volume
$3,427.31
Positions
Louisville
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$18.67
Volume
$1,824.72
Positions
LouisvilleOver
BA8
Bayupati
Event PnL
+$5.03
Volume
$1,005.03
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Florida State vs. Louisville"?

As of the latest update, O/U 37.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by O/U 39.5 at 9,050% and O/U 41.5 at 8,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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