Florida State vs. Alabama

$96.7K Vol
Sep 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alabama 91.5%
Florida State 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Florida State vs. Alabama”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 32.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,100% chance of winning. O/U 30.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 8,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $96.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 32.5 (9,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 32.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 30.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 30.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (8,850%): Sitting in third place with a 8,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -3.5 (8,600%), O/U 34.5 (8,600%), and Spread -5.5 (8,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 36.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 32.59100.0%9100¢-9000¢
2O/U 30.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Spread -2.58850.0%8850¢-8750¢
4Spread -3.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
5O/U 34.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
6Spread -5.58350.0%8350¢-8250¢
7O/U 36.58350.0%8350¢-8250¢
8Spread -6.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
9Spread -9.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
10O/U 42.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
112Q Spread -2.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
121H O/U 20.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
13Spread -11.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
141H Spread -6.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
15Spread -12.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
16Spread -13.56550.0%$336550¢-6450¢
17O/U 44.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
181Q Spread -2.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
193Q Spread -2.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
204Q O/U 7.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
212H Spread -4.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
22Spread -14.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
23Spread -15.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
24O/U 46.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
251H O/U 23.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
261Q O/U 7.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
27Spread -16.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
281H Spread -8.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
291H Spread -9.55750.0%$1505750¢-5650¢
301Q Spread -3.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
313Q Spread -3.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
32Alabama O/U 34.55600.0%$10.0K5600¢-5500¢
332H Spread -6.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
344Q Spread -2.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
35O/U 48.55450.0%$6.0K5450¢-5350¢
36Spread -17.55350.0%$2.8K5350¢-5250¢
374Q O/U 10.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
381H Spread -10.55150.0%$1575150¢-5050¢
392H O/U 20.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
40Spread -18.55050.0%$10.6K5050¢-4950¢
411Q Spread -4.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
422Q Spread -6.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
434Q Spread -3.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
442H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Florida State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Alabama O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
483Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
494Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
50Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542H Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
581Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
591Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
601Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
632Q Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
642Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
652Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
662Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
672Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
723Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
733Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76Florida State O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77Florida State O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78Florida State O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Alabama O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Alabama O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Alabama O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Florida State 1H O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Florida State 1H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Florida State 1H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Alabama 1H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Alabama 1H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Florida State 2H O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Florida State 2H O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Florida State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
93Alabama 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
94Spread -37.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
95Spread -40.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
961H O/U 26.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
972H O/U 23.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
983Q Spread -4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
99Spread -19.54850.0%$7.0K4850¢-4750¢
100O/U 40.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
1014Q O/U 13.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
1022H Spread -9.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
103O/U 50.54750.0%$2274750¢-4650¢
1041H Spread -11.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1051Q O/U 10.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1064Q Spread -4.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
107Spread -20.54600.0%$7.4K4600¢-4500¢
108Florida State O/U 14.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
109Spread -36.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
110O/U 38.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
1113Q O/U 12.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
1121H Spread -13.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
113O/U 52.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
1142H Spread -7.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
1151Q O/U 13.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
116Spread -21.54100.0%$114100¢-4000¢
117Spread -22.54050.0%$5124050¢-3950¢
118Alabama O/U 37.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
1192Q Spread -7.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
120Spread -23.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
121O/U 54.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
122Spread -24.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
123Spread -25.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
124O/U 56.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
125Spread -26.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
126Spread -27.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
1273Q Spread -7.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
128Florida State O/U 20.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
129O/U 58.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
1304Q O/U 16.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
1312Q O/U 20.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
1321Q Spread -7.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
1331Q O/U 16.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
134O/U 60.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
1354Q Spread -7.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
1361Q Moneyline2200.0%2200¢-2100¢
137Spread -30.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
1384Q O/U 19.52050.0%2050¢-1950¢
139O/U 62.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢
140Spread -33.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢
141O/U 64.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
142Spread -28.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
1431H Moneyline1350.0%1350¢-1250¢
144O/U 66.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
145O/U 68.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
146Spread -0.5900.0%$100900¢-800¢
147Florida State vs. Alabama850.0%$51.8K850¢-750¢
148O/U 70.5800.0%800¢-700¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:09 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $21.30

    Bought 46.304348 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-20.5) at 0.46

  • 12:01 PM
    DRdrex0o
    $40.00

    Bought 83.333334 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $7.00

    Bought 14.583334 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    CICip106
    $48.03

    Bought 96.06 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 12:00 PM
    CICip106
    $28.32

    Bought 59 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    PMpmas
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867925 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.53

  • 11:59 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $2.35

    Sold 5 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 11:59 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $37.70

    Sold 72.5 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.52

  • 11:59 AM
    CICip106
    $34.80

    Bought 72.5 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 11:59 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $7.08

    Bought 12 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-22.5) at 0.59

  • 11:59 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $6.27

    Bought 11 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-21.5) at 0.57

  • 11:57 AM
    CICip106
    $29.97

    Bought 55.5 Over for Florida State vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
coinlaundry
Event PnL
-$230.79
Volume
$50,726.80
Positions
Alabama
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$82.69
Volume
$22,124.71
Positions
UnderFlorida StateFlorida State+1
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$27.49
Volume
$14,405.89
Positions
Florida StateAlabamaFlorida State+1
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$72.92
Volume
$12,700.96
Positions
OverFlorida StateFlorida State+1
655
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Florida State
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$14.40
Volume
$4,650.00
Positions
Florida State
SN7
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$10.13
Volume
$3,822.39
Positions
Florida StateAlabamaFlorida State
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$18.55
Volume
$3,710.00
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Florida State vs. Alabama"?

As of the latest update, O/U 32.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,100% win probability, followed by O/U 30.5 at 9,050% and Spread -2.5 at 8,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $96.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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