Buffalo vs. Ball State

$335K Vol
Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Buffalo 51.5%
Ball State 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Buffalo vs. Ball State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 35.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,900% chance of winning. O/U 41.5 follows in second place at 7,800%, while Buffalo O/U 20.5 sits in third with 7,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $335K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 35.5 (8,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 35.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $57 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 41.5 (7,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 41.5 maintains a 7,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,800¢.
  • Buffalo O/U 20.5 (7,200%): Sitting in third place with a 7,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Buffalo O/U 20.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 47.5 (6,550%), Buffalo O/U 23.5 (6,300%), and Ball State O/U 23.5 (6,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 49.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 35.58900.0%$578900¢-8800¢
2O/U 41.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
3Buffalo O/U 20.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
4O/U 47.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
5Buffalo O/U 23.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
6Ball State O/U 23.56200.0%$2656200¢-6100¢
7O/U 49.56050.0%$42.7K6050¢-5950¢
8O/U 51.55550.0%$17.8K5550¢-5450¢
9Buffalo O/U 26.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
10Buffalo vs. Ball State5150.0%$219.9K5150¢-5050¢
11Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
12O/U 43.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
13O/U 45.55050.0%$175050¢-4950¢
14O/U 73.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Ball State 1H O/U 12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
16Both Teams to Score Points - Q35050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
17Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
18O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 55.55000.0%$345000¢-4900¢
21O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
231H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
251H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
321Q O/U 10.55000.0%$385000¢-4900¢
331Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
341Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
413Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
423Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
433Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
443Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Buffalo O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Buffalo O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Ball State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Ball State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Ball State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Buffalo 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Buffalo 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Buffalo 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Ball State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Ball State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Buffalo 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Buffalo 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Buffalo 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Ball State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Ball State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Ball State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Buffalo vs. Ball State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1301H Moneyline5000.0%$7.7K5000¢-4900¢
1311Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -8.54950.0%$684950¢-4850¢
136Spread -8.54950.0%$684950¢-4850¢
137Spread -20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138O/U 53.54950.0%$5.1K4950¢-4850¢
139O/U 57.54950.0%$134950¢-4850¢
140O/U 61.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141O/U 63.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
142O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
143Ball State O/U 29.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
144Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146Spread -1.54750.0%$4124750¢-4650¢
147Spread -1.54700.0%$4124700¢-4600¢
148Spread -2.54550.0%$2304550¢-4450¢
149Spread -2.54500.0%$2304500¢-4400¢
150Spread -3.53900.0%$15.2K3900¢-3800¢
151Spread -3.53850.0%$15.2K3850¢-3750¢
152Spread -4.53650.0%$2313650¢-3550¢
153Spread -5.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
154Spread -4.53500.0%$2313500¢-3400¢
155O/U 59.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
156Spread -6.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
157Spread -5.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1581H O/U 27.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
159Spread -6.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1601H O/U 30.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
161Spread -7.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
162Spread -0.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
163Spread -7.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
164Spread -10.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
165O/U 65.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
166Spread -10.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
167Spread -13.51850.0%$1421850¢-1750¢
168Spread -13.51700.0%$1421700¢-1600¢
169Spread -14.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
170Spread -16.51450.0%$761450¢-1350¢
171Spread -14.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
172O/U 71.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
173Spread -17.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
174Spread -16.51250.0%$761250¢-1150¢
175Spread -17.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
176Spread -20.5900.0%—900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Ball State, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game.

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:03 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.64

    Bought 12 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.47

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:46 PM
    NInigiri99
    $293.75

    Bought 625 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.47

  • 11:21 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $42.32

    Bought 92 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 11:20 PM
    ——
    $1.13

    Sold 2.52 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.45

  • 11:14 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 11:12 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $9.66

    Bought 21 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 11:11 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.38

    Bought 3 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 11:01 PM
    ——
    $1.16

    Bought 2.52174 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 11:01 PM
    EXexpertsquanderer
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Buffalo for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.55

  • 10:40 PM
    AXax2026
    $4.62

    Bought 10.043479 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 10:40 PM
    AXax2026
    $4.62

    Bought 10.043479 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

  • 10:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $349.60

    Bought 760 Ball State for Buffalo vs. Ball State: 1H Moneyline at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
kkookkoo
Event PnL
+$34.31
Volume
$27,000.00
Positions
Over
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$94.61
Volume
$18,832.00
Positions
Ball StateBall StateBall State+3
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$16,784.00
Positions
Under
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$136.99
Volume
$15,368.71
Positions
BuffaloBall StateOver+3
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$36.16
Volume
$13,372.12
Positions
Ball StateBuffaloUnder+4
PR6
primm
Event PnL
+$349.53
Volume
$11,615.80
Positions
OverOver
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$39.81
Volume
$10,929.00
Positions
Ball StateOverBuffalo+5
IM8
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$300.04
Volume
$10,139.20
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Buffalo vs. Ball State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 35.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,900% win probability, followed by O/U 41.5 at 7,800% and Buffalo O/U 20.5 at 7,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $335K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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