Ball State vs. Northwestern

$107.9K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Northwestern 99.0%
Ball State 1.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Ball State vs. Northwestern”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Pick-Six Scored is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $107.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Pick-Six Scored (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Pick-Six Scored is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 (5,000%), Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 (5,000%), and Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Pick-Six Scored5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Northwestern, scheduled for October 10 at 12:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    QWqwe258
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    QWqwe258
    $135.99

    Bought 135.99 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $24.53

    Bought 24.534535 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    BEBetNovaa
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $2.00

    Bought 2.002003 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 20.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $100.10

    Bought 100.100101 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994995 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:16 PM
    LAlaoaba
    $1.02

    Bought 1.821429 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 67.5 at 0.56

  • 07:11 PM
    NENeitrino
    $65.00

    Bought 309.52381 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.21

  • 07:11 PM
    ASassasin5002
    $9.02

    Bought 41 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.22

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$11,539.96
Volume
$23,550.99
Positions
Northwestern
LE2
LesterDiamond
Event PnL
+$1,178.23
Volume
$9,817.64
Positions
OverBall State
JU3
justaluckydude
Event PnL
-$2,384.86
Volume
$5,717.92
Positions
NorthwesternNorthwesternOver+5
4F4
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$2,407.92
Volume
$5,584.75
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
OL5
Olivier987
Event PnL
-$2,082.47
Volume
$5,547.94
Positions
Northwestern
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$10.34
Volume
$5,171.00
Positions
Ball State
GA7
GaoJin-GamblingGod
Event PnL
-$2,339.14
Volume
$4,773.75
Positions
Ball State
0A8
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
-$1,999.69
Volume
$4,081.00
Positions
Northwestern

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Ball State vs. Northwestern"?

As of the latest update, Pick-Six Scored leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 at 5,000% and Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $107.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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