Arizona State vs. UCF

$133.7K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
UCF 60.5%
Arizona State 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arizona State vs. UCF”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 35.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. Arizona State O/U 20.5 follows in second place at 7,500%, while Arizona State vs. UCF sits in third with 7,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $133.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 35.5 (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 35.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Arizona State O/U 20.5 (7,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Arizona State O/U 20.5 maintains a 7,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,500¢.
  • Arizona State vs. UCF (7,350%): Sitting in third place with a 7,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Arizona State vs. UCF, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 37.5 (7,250%), 4Q O/U 7.5 (7,150%), and Spread -1.5 (7,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 39.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 35.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
2Arizona State O/U 20.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
3Arizona State vs. UCF7350.0%$65.1K7350¢-7250¢
4O/U 37.57250.0%$2.8K7250¢-7150¢
54Q O/U 7.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
6Spread -1.57100.0%$1.5K7100¢-7000¢
7O/U 39.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
8Spread -2.56300.0%$6856300¢-6200¢
9O/U 41.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
10Spread -4.55750.0%$2.3K5750¢-5650¢
11Spread -3.55750.0%$1.7K5750¢-5650¢
124Q O/U 10.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
134Q O/U 19.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
14O/U 43.55150.0%$1.4K5150¢-5050¢
15Arizona State O/U 23.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
16Spread -5.55050.0%$4.5K5050¢-4950¢
17Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
184Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
19Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
20Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
212H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
233Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Arizona State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Arizona State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Arizona State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27UCF O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28UCF O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Arizona State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Arizona State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31UCF 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32UCF 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33UCF 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84UCF Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85UCF Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90UCF Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91UCF Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92UCF Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Arizona State vs. UCF: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
952H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
961Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
973Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99O/U 75.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
100Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
101O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
102UCF O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
103Arizona State 2H O/U 13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
104Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Spread -6.54650.0%$744650¢-4550¢
106O/U 45.54650.0%$27.9K4650¢-4550¢
1073Q O/U 7.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
108Spread -8.54350.0%$54350¢-4250¢
109Spread -7.54300.0%$104300¢-4200¢
1102H O/U 24.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
111O/U 47.53450.0%$9.6K3450¢-3350¢
1124Q O/U 16.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
113O/U 53.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
114O/U 49.53050.0%$973050¢-2950¢
115Spread -10.53000.0%$1.2K3000¢-2900¢
116UCF O/U 23.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
117O/U 57.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
118O/U 59.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
1193Q O/U 13.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
120Spread -20.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
1212H O/U 27.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
122O/U 63.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
123O/U 65.52500.0%$52500¢-2400¢
124O/U 69.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
125O/U 71.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
1262H O/U 30.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
127Spread -8.52350.0%$52350¢-2250¢
128Spread -13.52250.0%$2502250¢-2150¢
129Spread -14.52050.0%$2452050¢-1950¢
130O/U 51.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
131Spread -1.52000.0%$1.5K2000¢-1900¢
132Spread -2.51900.0%$6851900¢-1800¢
1333Q O/U 16.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
134UCF O/U 26.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
135Spread -3.51500.0%$1.7K1500¢-1400¢
136Spread -16.51400.0%$1.3K1400¢-1300¢
137O/U 55.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
138Spread -17.51200.0%$3.2K1200¢-1100¢
139Spread -4.51200.0%$2.3K1200¢-1100¢
1403Q O/U 19.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
141Spread -5.5950.0%$4.5K950¢-850¢
142Spread -6.5750.0%$74750¢-650¢
143Spread -7.5650.0%$10650¢-550¢
144O/U 61.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
145Spread -10.5345.0%$1.2K345¢-245¢
146O/U 67.5260.0%$5.6K260¢-160¢
147Spread -13.5205.0%$250205¢-105¢
148Spread -14.5145.0%$245145¢-45¢
149Spread -16.5140.0%$1.3K140¢-40¢
150Spread -20.5100.0%—100¢0¢
151Spread -17.585.0%$3.2K85¢15¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:27 PM
    0X0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $11.60

    Bought 20 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.90

    Bought 5 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $1.60

    Bought 4 Arizona State for Arizona State vs. UCF at 0.4

  • 10:24 PM
    DOdontcallmegambler
    $23.63

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    GLglennyorkshire
    $472.73

    Bought 909.09 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    IUIulii
    $24.09

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:19 PM
    ILilqar330
    $2.90

    Bought 5.576922 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.06 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $302.94

    Bought 594 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $687.48

    Bought 1348 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,374.36

    Bought 2643 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$94.59
Volume
$31,850.00
Positions
UnderUnderUCF
PR2
primm
Event PnL
+$2,576.36
Volume
$18,853.58
Positions
Arizona StateOverArizona State+6
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$1,875.22
Volume
$13,196.64
Positions
UCFUCFUCF+7
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$511.64
Volume
$10,700.92
Positions
UnderUCFArizona State+10
BB5
bbcvvcbv
Event PnL
-$48.30
Volume
$9,675.55
Positions
Arizona State
656
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$618.97
Volume
$8,612.05
Positions
UCFUCFUCF+10
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$164.55
Volume
$8,320.93
Positions
OverOverUCF+1
SA8
SaylorMoon
Event PnL
-$135.22
Volume
$6,520.89
Positions
OverUCF

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arizona State vs. UCF"?

As of the latest update, O/U 35.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by Arizona State O/U 20.5 at 7,500% and Arizona State vs. UCF at 7,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $133.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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