Arkansas State vs. TCU

$103K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
TCU 97.4%
Arkansas State 3.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arkansas State vs. TCU”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 2Q O/U 10.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,850% chance of winning. Arkansas State 1H O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,850%, while 1H Spread -6.5 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $103K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 2Q O/U 10.5 (9,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 2Q O/U 10.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Arkansas State 1H O/U 5.5 (9,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Arkansas State 1H O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,850¢.
  • 1H Spread -6.5 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1H Spread -6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 2Q O/U 13.5 (9,050%), O/U 36.5 (7,300%), and O/U 38.5 (7,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 40.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
12Q O/U 10.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
2Arkansas State 1H O/U 5.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
31H Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
42Q O/U 13.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
5O/U 36.57300.0%7300¢-7200¢
6O/U 38.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
7O/U 40.56900.0%$206900¢-6800¢
8Spread -3.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
9Spread -4.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
10Spread -13.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
11Spread -7.56450.0%$9906450¢-6350¢
12Spread -9.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
13O/U 42.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
14Spread -10.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
15O/U 44.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
16Spread -12.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
17Spread -11.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
18Spread -1.55150.0%$555150¢-5050¢
19O/U 46.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
203Q Moneyline5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
212H Spread -11.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
222H Spread -13.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
232H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24TCU O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
252Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
264Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
332H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
372H O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
413Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
423Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
433Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
443Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
453Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
463Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
493Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
503Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
513Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
564Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
624Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Arkansas State O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64Arkansas State O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65Arkansas State O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Arkansas State O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Arkansas State O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68TCU O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69TCU O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70TCU O/U 37.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71TCU O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
72TCU O/U 43.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Arkansas State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74Arkansas State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Arkansas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76TCU 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77TCU 2H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78TCU 2H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Arkansas State O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
80Spread -14.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
81Spread -35.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
82O/U 76.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
832H O/U 34.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
84Spread -15.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
85O/U 48.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
86Spread -38.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
87Spread -19.54400.0%$47.7K4400¢-4300¢
88O/U 50.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
89Spread -20.54000.0%$44000¢-3900¢
90Spread -17.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
91Spread -18.53850.0%$10.6K3850¢-3750¢
92Spread -21.53700.0%$1043700¢-3600¢
93O/U 52.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
94O/U 54.53600.0%$3.1K3600¢-3500¢
95Spread -22.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
96Spread -23.53400.0%$113400¢-3300¢
97Spread -24.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
98Spread -25.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
99O/U 58.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
100Spread -26.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
101Spread -31.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
102O/U 60.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
103O/U 64.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
104O/U 66.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
105O/U 68.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
106O/U 72.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
107O/U 70.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
108O/U 74.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
109O/U 62.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢
110O/U 56.51500.0%$11.9K1500¢-1400¢
1111H Moneyline950.0%$844950¢-850¢
1121H Spread -8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1131H Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1141H Spread -10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1151H Spread -11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1161H Spread -13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1171H O/U 22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1181H O/U 25.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1191H O/U 28.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1201H O/U 31.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1211H O/U 34.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1222Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1232Q Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1242Q Spread -5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1252Q Spread -6.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1262Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1272Q Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1282Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1292Q O/U 19.5950.0%950¢-850¢
1302Q O/U 22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
131Arkansas State 1H O/U 7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
132Arkansas State 1H O/U 9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
133TCU 1H O/U 18.5950.0%950¢-850¢
134TCU 1H O/U 20.5950.0%950¢-850¢
135TCU 1H O/U 22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
136Arkansas State vs. TCU700.0%$27.6K700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and TCU, scheduled for September 19 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:49 PM
    RARachfgg
    $5.00

    Bought 9.61 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:49 PM
    KUkuwapt
    $2.35

    Bought 4.519231 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:49 PM
    ELElaran1993
    $4,105.92

    Bought 7896 Under for Arkansas State vs. TCU: O/U 56.5 at 0.52

  • 11:43 PM
    WRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r
    $5,654.44

    Bought 11308.87 TCU for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 11:41 PM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $417.18

    Bought 818 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 11:38 PM
    $7.00

    Bought 13.725491 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 11:35 PM
    DADansoulette
    $50.00

    Bought 83.333332 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-21.5) at 0.6

  • 11:05 PM
    BABaltzeus41
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703704 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-20.5) at 0.54

  • 10:49 PM
    0X0x1E801ADDB24a36512A0A743721151A696c2B416d-1780006791520
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Arkansas State for Spread: TCU (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 10:27 PM
    ANandy29
    $175.37

    Bought 221.99 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.79

  • 10:25 PM
    ANandy29
    $117.00

    Bought 150 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.78

  • 10:24 PM
    ANandy29
    $128.70

    Bought 165 TCU for Spread: TCU (-7.5) at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$171.07
Volume
$43,371.07
Positions
TCUTCU
MA2
maz26
Event PnL
+$189.53
Volume
$40,605.00
Positions
Arkansas StateArkansas State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$17.04
Volume
$4,097.00
Positions
Arkansas StateTCU
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$434.93
Volume
$2,513.85
Positions
TCUOverArkansas State
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
-$5.55
Volume
$1,110.42
Positions
Under
NI6
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$6.85
Volume
$658.00
Positions
TCUArkansas State
TI7
tigartie
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$300.00
Positions
OverTCU
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$0.93
Volume
$135.32
Positions
TCU

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arkansas State vs. TCU"?

As of the latest update, 2Q O/U 10.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,850% win probability, followed by Arkansas State 1H O/U 5.5 at 9,850% and 1H Spread -6.5 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $103K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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