Alabama vs. Mississippi State

$136.8K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alabama 66.5%
Mississippi State 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Alabama vs. Mississippi State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 37.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,350% chance of winning. O/U 39.5 follows in second place at 9,100%, while O/U 41.5 sits in third with 8,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $136.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 37.5 (9,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 37.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 39.5 (9,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 39.5 maintains a 9,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,100¢.
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%): Sitting in third place with a 8,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 41.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 43.5 (8,650%), Alabama O/U 20.5 (8,650%), and O/U 35.5 (8,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 45.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 37.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2O/U 39.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
4O/U 43.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
5Alabama O/U 20.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
6O/U 35.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
7O/U 45.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
8Alabama O/U 23.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
9O/U 47.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
101Q O/U 7.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
11O/U 49.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
12O/U 51.57200.0%$237200¢-7100¢
13Alabama O/U 26.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
14Alabama O/U 29.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
15O/U 53.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
16Alabama vs. Mississippi State6650.0%$11.3K6650¢-6550¢
17Spread -0.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
18Mississippi State O/U 23.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
19Spread -1.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
202Q O/U 7.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
21Spread -2.56250.0%$1496250¢-6150¢
22O/U 55.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
232Q O/U 10.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
241H Moneyline6000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
251H O/U 27.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
264Q O/U 7.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
27O/U 57.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
282Q O/U 13.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
293Q O/U 10.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
304Q O/U 10.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
313Q O/U 7.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
321Q O/U 10.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
331H Spread -0.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
34Spread -3.55550.0%$1755550¢-5450¢
35Alabama O/U 32.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
36O/U 59.55450.0%$585450¢-5350¢
37Alabama 1H O/U 13.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
382Q O/U 16.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
391H O/U 30.55300.0%$5945300¢-5200¢
402H O/U 27.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
414Q O/U 13.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
42Spread -4.55250.0%$1.0K5250¢-5150¢
431H Spread -2.55250.0%$2.9K5250¢-5150¢
441Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
45Spread -5.55050.0%$63.1K5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
493Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
502H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
511H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Mississippi State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Alabama 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Alabama 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Mississippi State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Mississippi State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Mississippi State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Alabama O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Mississippi State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1574Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1594Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
160Mississippi State O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
161O/U 61.54850.0%$2954850¢-4750¢
162Mississippi State O/U 32.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
163Game Goes to Overtime4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
164Spread -6.54750.0%$1704750¢-4650¢
1652H Spread -3.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1661H Spread -3.54600.0%$1374600¢-4500¢
1674Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1682Q O/U 19.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1691Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
170O/U 63.54350.0%$2274350¢-4250¢
1714Q Spread -1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
172Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1733Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1742H Spread -4.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1752Q Spread -2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
176Mississippi State O/U 26.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1771H Spread -5.54100.0%$5644100¢-4000¢
178Spread -7.54050.0%$23.1K4050¢-3950¢
1793Q O/U 19.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1801H Spread -4.53950.0%$4.2K3950¢-3850¢
181Spread -8.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
182O/U 65.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
183O/U 67.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
184Spread -10.53500.0%$3013500¢-3400¢
185Spread -0.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1861Q Spread -3.53350.0%$183350¢-3250¢
1871Q Spread -3.53300.0%$183300¢-3200¢
188Spread -1.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1891Q O/U 16.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
190Spread -13.53050.0%$563050¢-2950¢
191Spread -2.53050.0%$1493050¢-2950¢
1921H Spread -7.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1931Q Moneyline3050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
194O/U 69.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
195Spread -14.52750.0%$2982750¢-2650¢
196Spread -20.52600.0%$62600¢-2500¢
197O/U 71.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
198Spread -3.52550.0%$1752550¢-2450¢
199Spread -16.52450.0%$4582450¢-2350¢
2001Q O/U 19.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
201Spread -4.52350.0%$1.0K2350¢-2250¢
202O/U 73.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
203Spread -17.52250.0%$1702250¢-2150¢
204Spread -5.52250.0%$63.1K2250¢-2150¢
205Spread -6.52150.0%$1702150¢-2050¢
206O/U 75.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
207Spread -20.51800.0%$61800¢-1700¢
208Spread -7.51650.0%$23.1K1650¢-1550¢
209Spread -8.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
210Spread -10.51250.0%$3011250¢-1150¢
211Spread -13.51050.0%$561050¢-950¢
212Spread -14.5800.0%$298800¢-700¢
213Spread -16.5750.0%$458750¢-650¢
214Spread -17.5555.0%$170555¢-455¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:03 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $6.80

    Bought 18.378379 Alabama for 1Q Spread: Alabama (-3.5) at 0.37

  • 09:41 PM
    YUyuyakowako
    $180.00

    Bought 295.081966 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-7.5) at 0.61

  • 09:23 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Alabama for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.67

  • 09:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.97

    Bought 47 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:09 PM
    PApablera
    $8.00

    Bought 15.09434 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 at 0.53

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 58.82353 Mississippi State for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.34

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.54

  • 09:08 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:06 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.17

    Bought 11 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:00 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638298 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
-$221.95
Volume
$53,302.07
Positions
Alabama
492
0x4924…1188
Event PnL
+$257.33
Volume
$51,465.03
Positions
Mississippi State
AR3
ArielFilipino
Event PnL
-$383.27
Volume
$23,487.88
Positions
Mississippi StateMississippi State
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$333.68
Volume
$18,794.00
Positions
Mississippi StateMississippi StateMississippi State+1
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$329.95
Volume
$15,467.59
Positions
AlabamaAlabamaMississippi State+1
FO6
forecastication4
Event PnL
+$167.16
Volume
$8,629.30
Positions
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+2
FL7
FlamePyro
Event PnL
-$87.59
Volume
$7,199.99
Positions
Alabama
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$30.70
Volume
$5,889.03
Positions
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+8

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Alabama vs. Mississippi State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 37.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,350% win probability, followed by O/U 39.5 at 9,100% and O/U 41.5 at 8,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $136.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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