Air Force vs. Nevada

$290K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Air Force 53.5%
Nevada 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Air Force vs. Nevada”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 32.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,600% chance of winning. O/U 38.5 follows in second place at 8,450%, while O/U 28.5 sits in third with 7,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $290K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 32.5 (9,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 32.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 38.5 (8,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 38.5 maintains a 8,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,450¢.
  • O/U 28.5 (7,200%): Sitting in third place with a 7,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 28.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 30.5 (7,150%), O/U 34.5 (7,100%), and O/U 36.5 (7,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 42.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 32.59600.0%—9600¢-9500¢
2O/U 38.58450.0%$118450¢-8350¢
3O/U 28.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
4O/U 30.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
5O/U 34.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
6O/U 36.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
7O/U 42.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
8O/U 40.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
9O/U 44.55850.0%$325850¢-5750¢
103Q O/U 3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
113Q O/U 6.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
123Q O/U 9.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
13Nevada O/U 15.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
14Spread -23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -1.55000.0%$495000¢-4900¢
17Spread -0.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
18Spread -0.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
192H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
232H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
242H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
252H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
413Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
423Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
433Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
564Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Air Force O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Air Force O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Air Force O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Air Force O/U 30.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
64Air Force O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Nevada O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Nevada O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Nevada O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Nevada O/U 27.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
69Air Force 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Air Force 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Air Force 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Nevada 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Nevada 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Nevada 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Air Force O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Nevada O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
782Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
793Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
804Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Air Force vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Air Force vs. Nevada4950.0%$201.8K4950¢-4850¢
147Spread -26.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
148Spread -19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
149O/U 46.54900.0%$6874900¢-4800¢
150Spread -2.54550.0%$3.0K4550¢-4450¢
151Spread -4.54550.0%$54550¢-4450¢
152O/U 48.54500.0%$6.1K4500¢-4400¢
153Spread -1.54400.0%$494400¢-4300¢
154Spread -2.54100.0%$3.0K4100¢-4000¢
155Spread -6.54050.0%$12.4K4050¢-3950¢
156O/U 50.54050.0%$11.1K4050¢-3950¢
157O/U 54.53700.0%$13700¢-3600¢
158Spread -9.53600.0%$283600¢-3500¢
159Spread -8.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
160O/U 58.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
161O/U 60.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
162Spread -14.53500.0%$1713500¢-3400¢
163Spread -11.53500.0%$93500¢-3400¢
164Spread -8.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
165O/U 64.53500.0%$13500¢-3400¢
166O/U 66.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
167Spread -12.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
168Spread -11.53450.0%$93450¢-3350¢
169Spread -3.52700.0%$6.7K2700¢-2600¢
170Spread -4.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
171O/U 52.52400.0%$4262400¢-2300¢
172O/U 56.51850.0%$21850¢-1750¢
173Spread -13.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
174Spread -5.51550.0%$41.2K1550¢-1450¢
175Spread -7.51200.0%$2311200¢-1100¢
176Spread -7.51200.0%$2311200¢-1100¢
177Spread -16.51150.0%$1581150¢-1050¢
178Spread -10.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
179Spread -10.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
180O/U 62.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
181Spread -14.5655.0%$171655¢-555¢
182Spread -20.5595.0%$170595¢-495¢
183O/U 68.5450.0%$1450¢-350¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Air Force and Nevada, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game.

This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:01 PM
    0X0x726BB0A9632a4719609576684A6733Ded6b82914-1773767632930
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 09:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.79

    Bought 77.58 Over for Air Force vs. Nevada: O/U 50.5 at 0.5

  • 08:11 PM
    BAbarbar733
    $2.72

    Bought 4 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 07:52 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $958.09

    Bought 1408.955881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 07:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $13.86

    Bought 42 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.24

    Bought 28 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:13 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.66

    Bought 8.05 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:09 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $33.64

    Bought 63.47 Nevada for Spread: Air Force (-6.5) at 0.53

  • 06:53 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.91

    Bought 27 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:47 PM
    NInigiri99
    $5.28

    Bought 16 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:30 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.62

    Bought 14 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$136.87
Volume
$27,374.17
Positions
NevadaOverOver
PE2
PendulumExchange
Event PnL
-$134.59
Volume
$26,923.08
Positions
Air Force
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$19.20
Volume
$7,011.58
Positions
Air ForceUnderUnder+2
WE4
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
+$24.50
Volume
$4,900.00
Positions
Nevada
TO5
tomb2456
Event PnL
-$22.50
Volume
$4,500.00
Positions
Nevada
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$30.58
Volume
$3,548.32
Positions
Air ForceNevadaOver
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$15.34
Volume
$3,307.56
Positions
UnderNevadaNevada
PH8
phonesculptor
Event PnL
+$13.79
Volume
$3,152.34
Positions
Air Force

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Air Force vs. Nevada"?

As of the latest update, O/U 32.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,600% win probability, followed by O/U 38.5 at 8,450% and O/U 28.5 at 7,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $290K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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