Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers

$93.1K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Virginia Cavaliers 59.5%
Arkansas Razorbacks 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Spread -2.5 follows in second place at 6,900%, while Spread -3.5 sits in third with 6,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $93.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $601 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -2.5 (6,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -2.5 maintains a 6,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,900¢.
  • Spread -3.5 (6,450%): Sitting in third place with a 6,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 158.5 (3,350%), O/U 160.5 (2,650%), and O/U 161.5 (2,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.57250.0%$6017250¢-7150¢
2Spread -2.56900.0%$8216900¢-6800¢
3Spread -3.56450.0%$39.2K6450¢-6350¢
4O/U 158.53350.0%$1333350¢-3250¢
5O/U 160.52650.0%$2132650¢-2550¢
6O/U 161.52650.0%$8612650¢-2550¢
7Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers2500.0%$51.1K2500¢-2400¢
8O/U 162.52400.0%$1692400¢-2300¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Arkansas Razorbacks and Virginia Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 8, 2026

  • 01:01 PM
    REredcame1
    $2.65

    Bought 4.907408 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.54

  • 01:00 PM
    COcoulee
    $2.72

    Bought 5.037036 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.54

  • 01:00 PM
    SEsetls
    $2.72

    Bought 5.037036 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.54

  • 01:00 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $62.15

    Bought 117.27 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 12:57 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 12:53 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.59

    Bought 3 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 12:51 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 09:49 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.84

    Bought 28 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 09:45 AM
    SEsetls
    $2.42

    Bought 5.041667 Virginia Cavaliers for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 09:45 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $37.10

    Bought 70 Arkansas Razorbacks for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 09:45 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $42.40

    Bought 80 Arkansas Razorbacks for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 08:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $12.42

    Bought 23 Arkansas Razorbacks for Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$23.97
Volume
$5,476.36
Positions
Arkansas Razorbacks
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$46.65
Volume
$5,441.76
Positions
Virginia CavaliersUnderVirginia Cavaliers+2
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$68.84
Volume
$3,531.00
Positions
Arkansas RazorbacksOverVirginia Cavaliers+2
GA4
gagarin59
Event PnL
-$8.79
Volume
$1,757.00
Positions
Arkansas Razorbacks
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$6.93
Volume
$1,385.71
Positions
Virginia Cavaliers
WE6
WearyWanderer
Event PnL
-$16.11
Volume
$1,199.86
Positions
Virginia Cavaliers
FL7
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$9.70
Volume
$1,194.10
Positions
Virginia CavaliersArkansas RazorbacksOver+1
678
0x677a…1d52
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Arkansas Razorbacks

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Spread -2.5 at 6,900% and Spread -3.5 at 6,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $93.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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