1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - First Team to Score

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Nov 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 51.5%
Yes 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - First Team to Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. FC Bayern München follows in second place at 4,950%, while Neither sits in third with 4,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • FC Bayern München (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, FC Bayern München maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Neither (4,700%): Sitting in third place with a 4,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Neither, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11. FSV Mainz 055000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2FC Bayern München4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
3Neither4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - First Team to Score"?

As of the latest update, 1. FSV Mainz 05 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by FC Bayern München at 4,950% and Neither at 4,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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