FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

$100.6K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 51.5%
Under 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 64.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (64.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 65¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score64.5%$9.0K65¢36¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:30 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 64.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 65.6% — yielding an impressive +1.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV64.5%65.6%+1.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:34 PM
    COconormurphy
    $32.37

    Bought 33.03 FC Bayern München for Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5) at 0.98

  • 09:27 PM
    JUJumaJumajej
    $30.00

    Bought 43.478261 Over for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 at 0.69

  • 09:26 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $64.00

    Bought 200 FC Augsburg for Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:21 PM
    COCOBRA90
    $3.00

    Bought 4.225351 Over for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 09:20 PM
    COCOBRA90
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Over for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 3.5 at 0.5

  • 09:16 PM
    SOSocialista
    $258.00

    Bought 300 Over for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 at 0.86

  • 09:08 PM
    RArayvanmechelen
    $6.87

    Sold 21.48 FC Augsburg for Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:08 PM
    RArayvanmechelen
    $15.73

    Sold 30.85 FC Augsburg for Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) at 0.51

  • 08:55 PM
    EDEdji88
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 FC Bayern München for Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 08:22 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 10.5263 Over for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 at 0.95

  • 07:51 PM
    SUsuntori
    $4.76

    Bought 9.714286 FC Bayern München for Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 07:24 PM
    0X0xC93b0a6c7e5a4aA1F11667F69Ea18232F0C09d78-1781351298921
    $1.80

    Bought 2.769231 Yes for FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$16.50
Volume
$4,395.37
Positions
UnderOverFC Bayern München+15
SN2
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$34.59
Volume
$2,044.19
Positions
UnderUnderOver+6
RP3
RP777
Event PnL
-$15.25
Volume
$1,016.97
Positions
Under
ON4
Ondrej999
Event PnL
-$125.18
Volume
$935.00
Positions
UnderUnderFC Bayern München+2
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$7.24
Volume
$903.07
Positions
NoFC AugsburgOver
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$4.26
Volume
$843.29
Positions
OverNo
CO7
ColdMath
Event PnL
-$8.00
Volume
$817.34
Positions
UnderFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
GO8
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$4.57
Volume
$782.19
Positions
UnderFC Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 64.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 64.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 65.6% — an Expected Value gap of +1.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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