Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC - More Markets

$85.6K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 48.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $85.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (48.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 49¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $479 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score48.5%$47949¢52¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for September 25 at 7:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 48.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 46%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score48.5%46.0%-2.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 25, 2026

  • 10:33 PM
    MImickreid
    $2.85

    Bought 10.555556 Under for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 1.5 at 0.27

  • 10:33 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $6.34

    Bought 27.565218 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Vila Nova FC O/U 2.5 at 0.23

  • 10:33 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.15

    Bought 5 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Vila Nova FC O/U 2.5 at 0.23

  • 10:33 PM
    MTmtp909
    $20.59

    Bought 29.414286 Londrina EC for Spread: Vila Nova FC (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 10:33 PM
    SIsinhtuycanh
    $20.59

    Bought 29.414286 Londrina EC for Spread: Vila Nova FC (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 10:33 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.83

    Bought 12.304348 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Vila Nova FC O/U 2.5 at 0.23

  • 10:33 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.08

    Bought 4.69 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Vila Nova FC O/U 2.5 at 0.23

  • 10:33 PM
    FLfl9dqwubtwzf
    $1.82

    Bought 2.6 Londrina EC for Spread: Vila Nova FC (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 10:33 PM
    ——
    $1.01

    Bought 1.442856 Londrina EC for Spread: Vila Nova FC (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 10:33 PM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $93.00

    Bought 310 Vila Nova FC for Spread: Vila Nova FC (-1.5) at 0.3

  • 10:31 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.59

    Bought 33 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Vila Nova FC O/U 2.5 at 0.23

  • 10:30 PM
    ——
    $4.82

    Bought 10.041667 Over for Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$2.72
Volume
$7,542.48
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+17
KN2
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$61.94
Volume
$5,015.35
Positions
UnderOverUnder+2
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$9.94
Volume
$1,244.91
Positions
Vila Nova FCLondrina ECUnder+3
JA4
jackli003
Event PnL
+$2.60
Volume
$600.00
Positions
OverLondrina ECLondrina EC
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$25.05
Volume
$564.21
Positions
Londrina ECUnderUnder+12
FC6
0xfc57…9642
Event PnL
+$1.05
Volume
$526.32
Positions
Vila Nova FC
TO7
toryxbt
Event PnL
+$3.00
Volume
$300.00
Positions
Under
EM8
emacron
Event PnL
-$2.95
Volume
$239.90
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 48.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $85.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 48.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 46%, a negative EV Gap of -2.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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