São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets

$101.3K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 50.5%
Over 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 19.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $101.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (55%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 55¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $608 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (19.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 19.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 20¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score55.0%$60855¢45¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half19.5%$8620¢81¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for October 2 at 6:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 19.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 12.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -7.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score55.0%53.9%-1.1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19.5%12.4%-7.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 09:39 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.21

    Bought 16.84 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 1.5 at 0.25

  • 09:23 PM
    KAKazacugambler39
    $8.00

    Bought 15.686275 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5 at 0.51

  • 09:23 PM
    SUsuntori
    $476.19

    Bought 952.38 Over for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 09:20 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Over for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $160.28

    Bought 471.42 Over for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.34

  • 09:18 PM
    FUfutpythontrader
    $100.34

    Bought 106.744666 Over for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 0.5 at 0.94

  • 09:10 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.68

    Bought 6 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: São Bernardo FC O/U 0.5 at 0.28

  • 09:09 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.81

    Bought 183 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 0.5 at 0.07

  • 09:09 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.64

    Bought 13 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: São Bernardo FC O/U 0.5 at 0.28

  • 09:08 PM
    0X0x2F4DF86a47a90d201CdF85B2e779Be3Bc0D3448F-1773771549566
    $5.00

    Bought 100 São Bernardo FC for Spread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5) at 0.05

  • 09:03 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.16

    Bought 16.645162 Under for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.31

  • 09:03 PM
    LOloop-bot
    $4.81

    Bought 9.61 Over for São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xe1e2…6687
Event PnL
+$9.72
Volume
$1,943.60
Positions
OverOver
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$21.16
Volume
$1,660.76
Positions
UnderUnderNo+7
EM3
emacron
Event PnL
-$12.86
Volume
$1,245.09
Positions
OverUnderUnder+4
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$3.81
Volume
$812.79
Positions
UnderOverUnder+13
US5
us391
Event PnL
-$3.11
Volume
$621.86
Positions
Under
GO6
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$2.07
Volume
$537.40
Positions
UnderSão Bernardo FCSão Bernardo FC
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$2.62
Volume
$528.20
Positions
UnderNo
YO8
youtube-trader
Event PnL
+$28.50
Volume
$300.00
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 19.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $101.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 19.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 12.4%, a negative EV Gap of -7.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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