SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets

$315.8K Vol
Sep 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
São Paulo FC 67.0%
SE Palmeiras 33.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 45.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $315.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (45.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 46¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.7K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score45.5%$2.7K46¢55¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for September 12 at 5:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 45.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 47.5% — yielding an impressive +2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV45.5%47.5%+2.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:34 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.538462 São Paulo FC for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 09:33 PM
    LAlaynoir
    $7.00

    Bought 14.893618 SE Palmeiras for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xA01bC1FD490520800957DE1E75bFF7977cd130B9-1779977862192
    $1.95

    Bought 5.909091 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.33

  • 09:29 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $22.40

    Bought 140 Yes for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.16

  • 09:29 PM
    JZJZhang01
    $4.75

    Bought 14.85 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:29 PM
    GPGptball
    $86.73

    Bought 142.180328 São Paulo FC for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 09:29 PM
    0X0x910aA5aC3E134d64639179dc127fAea593481aa7-1784364728780
    $13.69

    Bought 42.79 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:28 PM
    FIFinalde
    $38.08

    Bought 119 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 59.5 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:28 PM
    HIhisonic
    $6.00

    Bought 11.111112 Under for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 09:28 PM
    HIhisonic
    $7.00

    Bought 12.962963 Under for SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 09:27 PM
    $3,000.00

    Bought 7500 SE Palmeiras for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$75.31
Volume
$4,379.57
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+5
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$29.22
Volume
$2,515.05
Positions
OverSão Paulo FCOver+2
BF3
0xbf6C…0189
Event PnL
-$18.99
Volume
$1,672.87
Positions
No
WA4
wapol
Event PnL
-$5.72
Volume
$632.98
Positions
OverOverOver
SN5
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$8.53
Volume
$568.35
Positions
Yes
JA6
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$2.28
Volume
$456.00
Positions
Over
EM7
emacron
Event PnL
+$3.86
Volume
$270.29
Positions
YesOver
GA8
garamvadapav3
Event PnL
-$7.48
Volume
$263.74
Positions
OverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 45.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $315.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 45.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 47.5% — an Expected Value gap of +2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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