Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC - More Markets

$143.2K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 55.5%
Under 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 18.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $143.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (50.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 51¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (18.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 18.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 19¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score50.5%$5.6K51¢50¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half18.5%$92119¢82¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 8 at 8:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 18.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 17%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score50.5%49.1%-1.4%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18.5%17.0%-1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 09:32 PM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $3.00

    Bought 42.857143 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5 at 0.07

  • 09:32 PM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $6.00

    Bought 600 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 8.5 at 0.01

  • 09:21 PM
    ULulos
    $5.04

    Bought 6 Under for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5 at 0.84

  • 09:13 PM
    ——
    $3.35

    Bought 6.568628 Yes for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

  • 09:08 PM
    COColdMath
    $68.00

    Bought 100 Under for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 at 0.68

  • 09:07 PM
    ABabg090286
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5 at 0.57

  • 08:52 PM
    SUsuntori
    $288.18

    Bought 323.8 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5 at 0.89

  • 08:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.00

    Bought 20 Under for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5 at 0.45

  • 08:34 PM
    LILimousin
    $11.78

    Bought 31 Under for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5 at 0.38

  • 08:11 PM
    OLOlsaO
    $19.00

    Bought 20 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5 at 0.95

  • 08:08 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $328.21

    Bought 994.575758 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 at 0.33

  • 08:01 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 5.135136 Over for Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KY1
Kyn008
Event PnL
+$13.99
Volume
$14,961.66
Positions
Under
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$58.33
Volume
$12,782.44
Positions
OverCoritiba FBCOver
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$2.16
Volume
$2,885.89
Positions
OverUnderUnder+6
B14
b118801
Event PnL
-$31.20
Volume
$2,080.00
Positions
OverOver
MO5
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$1.39
Volume
$1,903.38
Positions
UnderCoritiba FBC
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$10.48
Volume
$1,647.47
Positions
UnderFluminense FCFluminense FC+10
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$1.14
Volume
$1,352.72
Positions
Fluminense FCNoOver+3
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$28.41
Volume
$1,252.99
Positions
OverYesOver+4

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 18.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $143.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 18.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 17%, a negative EV Gap of -1.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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