Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets

$312K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 81.5%
Over 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $312K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (58.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.6K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score58.5%$8.6K59¢42¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 58.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 60% — yielding an impressive +1.5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV58.5%60.0%+1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 09:18 PM
    RIriosurfer
    $50.00

    Bought 54.94 Cruzeiro EC for Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) at 0.91

  • 09:10 PM
    TITitii
    $2.52

    Bought 4.064515 Yes for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $106.38

    Bought 171.580644 Yes for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 09:06 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Yes for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 09:05 PM
    DUduangduangmm
    $0.75

    Bought 5 Over for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5 at 0.15

  • 09:00 PM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263158 Under for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5 at 0.19

  • 09:00 PM
    KOkoxma
    $1.96

    Bought 2.39 Over for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5 at 0.82

  • 08:52 PM
    BIBite-on
    $30.07

    Bought 32.679731 Under for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5 at 0.92

  • 08:50 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $95.23

    Bought 126.973332 Over for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.75

  • 08:49 PM
    SUsuntori
    $190.52

    Bought 226.809518 Over for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5 at 0.84

  • 08:47 PM
    0X0x6daae04265d65cb2aae7fe6db4210568de7d954a-1783406213213
    $76.19

    Bought 122.887097 Yes for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 08:06 PM
    DUduangduangmm
    $0.75

    Bought 5 Over for Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5 at 0.15

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$28.88
Volume
$4,294.37
Positions
NoOverOver+10
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$17.75
Volume
$4,018.11
Positions
OverRed Bull BragantinoOver+6
PU3
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$3.11
Volume
$2,076.58
Positions
Under
314
0x31C7…1899
Event PnL
-$9.71
Volume
$1,942.63
Positions
Yes
SN5
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$28.21
Volume
$1,762.53
Positions
OverUnderOver+11
HE6
HEWEI16668
Event PnL
-$37.14
Volume
$1,600.31
Positions
Under
FA7
FaroeseNationalist
Event PnL
+$7.78
Volume
$1,554.99
Positions
No
998
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$5.80
Volume
$1,262.46
Positions
UnderOverOver+4

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $312K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 58.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 60% — an Expected Value gap of +1.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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