1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96 - More Markets

$114.4K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 64.0%
Under 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96 - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 71.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 30.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $114.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (71.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 72¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (30.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 30.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 31¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score71.5%$8.7K72¢29¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half30.5%$76431¢70¢

Result Rules

More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 11 at 12:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 30.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 29%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score71.5%71.3%-0.2%
Both Teams to Score in First Half30.5%29.0%-1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 11, 2026

  • 09:04 AM
    BYbyJamesMarston
    $5.00

    Bought 7.25 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 08:39 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $33.33

    Bought 37.875 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5 at 0.88

  • 08:37 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $119.70

    Bought 1330 Hannover 96 for Spread: Hannover 96 (-2.5) at 0.09

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $952.37

    Bought 1082.238633 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5 at 0.88

  • 08:12 AM
    BOBodilix
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 06:46 AM
    CAcaspar1248
    $0.88

    Bought 22.08 Under for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 06:46 AM
    CAcaspar1248
    $0.88

    Bought 22.07 Under for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 06:27 AM
    NANaughtyPizza
    $4.51

    Bought 6.530435 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 06:27 AM
    NANaughtyPizza
    $4.50

    Bought 6.521738 Yes for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Score at 0.69

  • 06:15 AM
    $3.30

    Bought 7.021277 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 at 0.47

  • 05:58 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Over for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 05:57 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $40.99

    Bought 77.339623 Under for 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

1L1
1l2ihj34li12u34
Event PnL
+$157.22
Volume
$31,519.17
Positions
Under
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$113.24
Volume
$21,822.00
Positions
UnderHannover 961. FC Nürnberg+2
R83
R88N
Event PnL
-$81.95
Volume
$19,795.12
Positions
Under
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$2.84
Volume
$16,773.49
Positions
1. FC NürnbergHannover 96Over+7
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$59.63
Volume
$14,921.40
Positions
UnderOverNo+6
FD6
fdgtsdfg12
Event PnL
-$94.98
Volume
$13,000.00
Positions
Over
PM7
PM1688
Event PnL
-$128.61
Volume
$9,722.36
Positions
Over
ZH8
zhuz632
Event PnL
+$46.96
Volume
$9,392.00
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96 - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 71.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 30.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $114.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 30.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 29%, a negative EV Gap of -1.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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