SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum - More Markets

$47.9K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 59% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $47.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (59%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $568 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score59.0%$56859¢41¢

Result Rules

More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 5 at 2:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 59%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 47%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -12%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score59.0%47.0%-12.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:04 PM
    LOlordofthefith
    $150.04

    Bought 174.463021 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.86

  • 08:03 PM
    EAEagleofmygeneration
    $1.00

    Bought 1.176466 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.85

  • 08:02 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $27.70

    Bought 33.780483 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.82

  • 08:02 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $53.25

    Bought 64.939022 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.82

  • 08:00 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $15.80

    Bought 20 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.79

  • 07:59 PM
    YIYidingyaode
    $10.00

    Bought 24.390242 Under for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5 at 0.41

  • 07:58 PM
    SPspffast
    $2.73

    Sold 13 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.21

  • 07:58 PM
    $3.90

    Bought 16.95652 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.23

  • 07:57 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $20.26

    Bought 92.090908 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 07:57 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.75

    Bought 57.954544 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 07:57 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.71

    Bought 57.772726 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 07:56 PM
    TAtardigrade7
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5 at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JH1
JhonAlexanderHinestroza
Event PnL
-$14,989.40
Volume
$20,837.31
Positions
Over
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$9,296.82
Volume
$16,295.45
Positions
UnderVfL BochumVfL Bochum+8
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$4,975.12
Volume
$11,092.51
Positions
UnderUnderOver+2
DN4
DNSJKFNS
Event PnL
-$2,181.73
Volume
$4,550.00
Positions
Under
ZE5
Zeljko
Event PnL
-$1,989.08
Volume
$3,734.42
Positions
OverOverOver
CA6
CAcap
Event PnL
-$429.90
Volume
$3,158.02
Positions
SG Dynamo DresdenSG Dynamo DresdenOver+1
DA7
darkumbreon99
Event PnL
+$1,376.15
Volume
$3,095.63
Positions
Over
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$808.01
Volume
$2,152.09
Positions
OverOverYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 59% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $47.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 59%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 47%, a negative EV Gap of -12% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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