USA vs. France

$210.9K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
USA 100.0%
France 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “USA vs. France”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, USA is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. France follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $210.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • USA (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, USA is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • France (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, France maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1USA9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2France5.0%95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 13 at 2:00 PM ET:

If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".

If the France win, the market will resolve to "France".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 11:22 AM
    ANangineer
    $10.00

    Bought 13.698629 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.73

  • 10:20 AM
    0X0xSeijuro
    $24.05

    Bought 82.931035 France/Germany for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.29

  • 09:46 AM
    ICIcefree
    $30.21

    Bought 104.172414 France/Germany for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.29

  • 09:03 AM
    QUQuentinChen
    $3,168.00

    Bought 4400 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.72

  • 09:03 AM
    QUQuentinChen
    $355.00

    Bought 500 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.71

  • 08:50 AM
    DUdumdum-bets
    $3.94

    Bought 5.63 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.7

  • 08:50 AM
    QUQuentinChen
    $2,747.10

    Bought 3981.3 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.69

  • 08:49 AM
    QUQuentinChen
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.68

  • 08:16 AM
    DUdudu123456
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 France/Germany for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.33

  • 07:58 AM
    RARAM1974
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.68

  • 07:46 AM
    MImishima21
    $30.15

    Bought 43.695651 Spain/USA for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.69

  • 07:31 AM
    0X0x584d7535aBBFDc134ec7362B4B0234fC73F5e1FC-1776799776931
    $5.00

    Bought 15.151516 France/Germany for Spain/USA vs. France/Germany at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
MaciBetting23
Event PnL
-$6,344.81
Volume
$27,245.91
Positions
France/Germany
BI2
BIAVN
Event PnL
+$5,808.57
Volume
$17,016.18
Positions
Spain/USA
ST3
Stonktrader
Event PnL
+$1,018.82
Volume
$13,700.68
Positions
Spain/USA
CL4
ClickKlackClick
Event PnL
+$2,209.83
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Spain/USA
6E5
0x6e0a…5475
Event PnL
-$3,464.35
Volume
$9,912.94
Positions
France/Germany
QU6
QuentinChen
Event PnL
+$2,608.38
Volume
$8,886.30
Positions
Spain/USA
SH7
shyu5000
Event PnL
+$1,400.49
Volume
$8,685.10
Positions
Spain/USA
PO8
Polyplayer14
Event PnL
-$1,827.37
Volume
$8,634.40
Positions
France/Germany

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "USA vs. France"?

As of the latest update, USA leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by France at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $210.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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