Germany vs. Japan

$35.7K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Germany 100.0%
Japan 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Germany vs. Japan”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Germany is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Japan follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $35.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Germany (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Germany is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Japan (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Japan maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Germany9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Japan5.0%95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET:

If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany".

If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:22 AM
    0X0x2E73F9E7E2256f1A3dD7Fab53c99C694526a9B13-1775829729863
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Japan for Germany vs. Japan at 0.4

  • 06:44 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $69.00

    Bought 186.486485 Japan for Germany vs. Japan at 0.37

  • 05:38 AM
    0X0x1bcef021C846cd82E3DaaB1F0E239c052465C696-1767521962995
    $5.00

    Bought 13.51 Japan for Germany vs. Japan at 0.37

  • 12:54 AM
    $1.55

    Bought 2.384614 Germany for Germany vs. Japan at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KI1
Kingdmandan
Event PnL
+$9,779.31
Volume
$17,214.15
Positions
Germany
FB2
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$3,652.09
Volume
$10,005.73
Positions
Japan
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$2.80
Volume
$4,551.54
Positions
Japan
BB4
bbb17367162806
Event PnL
+$844.54
Volume
$3,065.49
Positions
Germany
WA5
WarewaPain
Event PnL
-$538.90
Volume
$1,962.99
Positions
Japan
LF6
lfh1688
Event PnL
+$985.29
Volume
$1,851.34
Positions
Germany
607
0x6051…3423
Event PnL
+$17.51
Volume
$1,729.76
Positions
Germany
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$563.85
Volume
$1,544.80
Positions
Japan

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Germany vs. Japan"?

As of the latest update, Germany leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Japan at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $35.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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