China vs. Lebanon

$115.9K Vol
Sep 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
China 100.0%
Lebanon 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China vs. Lebanon”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China vs. Lebanon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 170.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while China (-10.5) sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $115.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China vs. Lebanon (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China vs. Lebanon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $184.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 170.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 170.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • China (-10.5) (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China (-10.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China vs. Lebanon9995.0%$184.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 170.59995.0%$9779995¢-9895¢
3China (-10.5)5.0%$19695¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET:

If the China win, the market will resolve to "China".

If the Lebanon win, the market will resolve to "Lebanon".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 06:30 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.69

  • 06:30 AM
    MUmuco82
    $3.00

    Bought 9.375 Lebanon for China vs. Lebanon at 0.32

  • 06:30 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.42

    Bought 4.303029 Lebanon for China vs. Lebanon at 0.33

  • 06:29 AM
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1449.275361 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.69

  • 06:27 AM
    SASadthings
    $150.00

    Bought 217.391303 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.69

  • 06:20 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $54.88

    Bought 161.406763 Lebanon for China vs. Lebanon at 0.34

  • 06:19 AM
    YXyxj18349
    $500.00

    Bought 724.63768 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.69

  • 06:18 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $84.76

    Bought 256.848483 Lebanon for China vs. Lebanon at 0.33

  • 06:04 AM
    $58.30

    Sold 87.02 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.67

  • 06:01 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 8.636362 Lebanon for China vs. Lebanon at 0.33

  • 06:00 AM
    $100.00

    Bought 144.927535 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.69

  • 05:57 AM
    QUQuentinChen
    $359.75

    Bought 529.05 China for China vs. Lebanon at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WO1
woyaofada888
Event PnL
+$14.41
Volume
$12,532.37
Positions
ChinaLebanon
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$131.24
Volume
$11,511.49
Positions
LebanonUnder
CI3
cigarettes
Event PnL
+$1,145.91
Volume
$5,502.14
Positions
China
AM4
AmphibiousCaldwellPope
Event PnL
-$259.51
Volume
$5,327.96
Positions
Lebanon
DB5
0xdbdd…1846
Event PnL
-$1,655.11
Volume
$5,023.55
Positions
LebanonChina
SA6
Saidmusician
Event PnL
-$1,384.28
Volume
$4,622.00
Positions
Lebanon
3B7
0x3be2…91a0
Event PnL
+$23.94
Volume
$4,134.51
Positions
China
QU8
QuentinChen
Event PnL
-$1,870.93
Volume
$3,175.76
Positions
Lebanon

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China vs. Lebanon"?

As of the latest update, China vs. Lebanon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 170.5 at 9,995% and China (-10.5) at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $115.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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