Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 28

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Nov 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 28”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Golden Hour: Part.6 - ATEEZ is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo follows in second place at 2,300%, while FRESH - Lil Baby sits in third with 2,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Golden Hour: Part.6 - ATEEZ (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Golden Hour: Part.6 - ATEEZ is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo (2,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo maintains a 2,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,300¢.
  • FRESH - Lil Baby (2,300%): Sitting in third place with a 2,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward FRESH - Lil Baby, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen (2,300%), Dandelion - Ella Langley (2,300%), and Carnaval De Luz - U2 (2,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Golden Hour: Part.6 - ATEEZ5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo2300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
3FRESH - Lil Baby2300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
4I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen2300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
5Dandelion - Ella Langley2300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
6Carnaval De Luz - U22300.0%—2300¢-2200¢

Result Rules

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 28, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 28"?

As of the latest update, Golden Hour: Part.6 - ATEEZ leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo at 2,300% and FRESH - Lil Baby at 2,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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