Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC

$87.3K Vol
Sep 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 100.0%
Yes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Club Brugge is dominating the market with an overwhelming 77% chance of winning. Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) follows in second place at 14.5%, while Royal Antwerp FC sits in third with 8.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $87.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Club Brugge (77%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Club Brugge is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 77¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) (14.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) maintains a 14.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 14¢.
  • Royal Antwerp FC (8.5%): Sitting in third place with a 8.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Royal Antwerp FC, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Club Brugge77.0%$21.9K77¢23¢
2Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC)14.5%$4.7K14¢86¢
3Royal Antwerp FC8.5%$60.7K92¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Belgium Pro League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Club Brugge and Royal Antwerp FC.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Royal Antwerp FC currently trades at 8.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 7.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Club Brugge as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 77% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 78% — yielding an impressive +1% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) (EV Gap: +0.9%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Club BruggeBest EV77.0%78.0%+1.0%
Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC)14.5%15.4%+0.9%
Royal Antwerp FC8.5%7.7%-0.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 10:04 AM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.65

    Bought 5 No for Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13? at 0.93

  • 10:02 AM
    $4.54

    Bought 21.619048 No for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.21

  • 10:02 AM
    $5.04

    Bought 24 No for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.21

  • 10:02 AM
    $4.74

    Bought 22.571429 No for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.21

  • 09:57 AM
    8P8plus8
    $1.00

    Bought 7.142858 Yes for Will Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC end in a draw? at 0.14

  • 09:48 AM
    TRtrader-5110b7a5
    $25.00

    Bought 31.25 Yes for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.8

  • 09:48 AM
    0X0xjames
    $320.74

    Bought 406 Yes for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.79

  • 09:30 AM
    0X0xf12dD9d3fa874478517C7e6A81a1170E939C0fdD-1775270115644
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265823 Yes for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.79

  • 09:30 AM
    $9.56

    Bought 10.28 No for Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13? at 0.93

  • 09:15 AM
    DIDivv94
    $2.00

    Bought 9.09091 No for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.22

  • 08:49 AM
    $68.66

    Bought 86.91139 Yes for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.79

  • 06:45 AM
    0X0x6D97328809B63272E4551a1240c8Ad981D89F0Bf-1768230755659
    $21.00

    Bought 26.582276 Yes for Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-13? at 0.79

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KN1
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$1,177.87
Positions
No
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$8.95
Volume
$868.73
Positions
YesNoYes
CE3
celsius60622
Event PnL
-$2.33
Volume
$233.00
Positions
Yes
AA4
0xaA0E…7926
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$130.00
Positions
Yes
CL5
clitoris.the.Third
Event PnL
-$0.33
Volume
$66.99
Positions
Yes
CE6
0xce1c…58d8
Event PnL
-$0.10
Volume
$62.86
Positions
YesYes
FA7
facai1699995
Event PnL
-$0.30
Volume
$59.98
Positions
YesYes
RA8
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$0.18
Volume
$55.93
Positions
NoNo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC"?

As of the latest update, Club Brugge leads the field as the frontrunner with a 77% win probability, followed by Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) at 14.5% and Royal Antwerp FC at 8.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $87.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Club Brugge as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 77% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 78% — an Expected Value gap of +1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Royal Antwerp FC. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 8.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 7.7%, a negative EV Gap of -0.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Club Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.9%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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