
SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, SCR Altach is dominating the market with an overwhelming 41% chance of winning. Grazer AK 1902 follows in second place at 33%, while Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902) sits in third with 32%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $94.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- SCR Altach (41%): Currently commanding the highest probability, SCR Altach is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 41¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $91.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Grazer AK 1902 (33%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Grazer AK 1902 maintains a 33% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 33¢.
- Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902) (32%): Sitting in third place with a 32% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCR Altach | 41.0% | $91.2K | 41¢ | 59¢ |
| 2 | Grazer AK 1902 | 33.0% | $1.7K | 33¢ | 67¢ |
| 3 | Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902) | 32.0% | $2.0K | 32¢ | 68¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between SCR Altach and Grazer AK 1902.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Grazer AK 1902 currently trades at 33%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 27.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -5.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies SCR Altach as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 41% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 43.7% — yielding an impressive +2.7% EV Gap.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCR AltachBest EV | 41.0% | 43.7% | +2.7% |
| Grazer AK 1902 | 33.0% | 27.9% | -5.1% |
| Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902) | 32.0% | 31.9% | -0.2% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 12, 2026
- 06:15 AMFLFlaznorp$6.28
Bought 11.62963 No for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.54
- 05:14 AMMAmanuel9009$6.06
Sold 11.22 No for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.54
- 05:05 AMDEDetectiveOnTheCase$230.00
Bought 500 Yes for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.46
- 05:02 AM0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481$1.08
Bought 1.5 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AMFLFlaznorp$13.57
Bought 18.847221 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AMFLFlaznorp$183.43
Bought 254.763889 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AM0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481$9.18
Bought 12.75 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AMFLFlaznorp$99.33
Bought 220.733334 Yes for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.45
- 05:02 AMFLFlaznorp$28.16
Bought 39.11111 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AM0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481$1.44
Bought 2 No for Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12? at 0.72
- 05:02 AMFLFlaznorp$119.63
Bought 265.844445 Yes for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.45
- 05:02 AM0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481$6.03
Bought 13.4 Yes for Will SCR Altach win on 2026-09-12? at 0.45
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902"?
As of the latest update, SCR Altach leads the field as the frontrunner with a 41% win probability, followed by Grazer AK 1902 at 33% and Draw (SCR Altach vs. Grazer AK 1902) at 32%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $94.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags SCR Altach as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 41% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 43.7% — an Expected Value gap of +2.7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Grazer AK 1902. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 33%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 27.9%, a negative EV Gap of -5.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.
