South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC - More Markets

$85.8K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Over 73.5%
Under 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 2nd Half O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 950% chance of winning. South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 950%, while South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 sits in third with 950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $85.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 2nd Half O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 maintains a 950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 950¢.
  • South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 (950%): Sitting in third place with a 950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 2.5 (950%), South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 3.5 (950%), and Melbourne Victory FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (480%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like South Melbourne FC O/U 0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
12nd Half O/U 0.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
2South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
3South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
4South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 2.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
5South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 3.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
6Melbourne Victory FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5480.0%—480¢-380¢
7South Melbourne FC O/U 0.545.0%—45¢55¢
8South Melbourne FC O/U 1.545.0%—45¢55¢
9South Melbourne FC O/U 2.545.0%—45¢55¢
10Both Teams to Score in Second Half45.0%—45¢55¢
112nd Half O/U 2.545.0%—45¢55¢
122nd Half O/U 3.545.0%—45¢55¢
132nd Half O/U 4.545.0%—45¢55¢
142nd Half O/U 1.520.0%—20¢80¢
15South Melbourne FC (-1.5)5.0%$735¢95¢
16Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)5.0%$4.1K5¢95¢
17South Melbourne FC (-2.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
18Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5)5.0%$2365¢95¢
19South Melbourne FC (-3.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
20Melbourne Victory FC (-3.5)5.0%$7185¢95¢
21South Melbourne FC (-4.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
22Melbourne Victory FC (-4.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
23South Melbourne FC (-5.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
24Melbourne Victory FC (-5.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
25O/U 0.55.0%$49.1K5¢95¢
26O/U 1.55.0%$9.9K5¢95¢
27O/U 2.55.0%$4.7K5¢95¢
28O/U 3.55.0%$3.5K5¢95¢
29O/U 4.55.0%$2.7K5¢95¢
30O/U 5.55.0%$1.6K5¢95¢
31O/U 6.55.0%$1.5K5¢95¢
32O/U 7.55.0%$5445¢95¢
33O/U 8.55.0%$5445¢95¢
34Both Teams to Score5.0%$595¢95¢
35Both Teams to Score in First Half5.0%—5¢95¢
361st Half O/U 0.55.0%$7125¢95¢
371st Half O/U 1.55.0%$2125¢95¢
381st Half O/U 2.55.0%$2475¢95¢
391st Half O/U 3.55.0%—5¢95¢
401st Half O/U 4.55.0%$55¢95¢
41South Melbourne FC O/U 3.55.0%$55¢95¢
42South Melbourne FC O/U 4.55.0%$105¢95¢
43South Melbourne FC O/U 5.55.0%$105¢95¢
44Melbourne Victory FC O/U 0.55.0%$5.2K5¢95¢
45Melbourne Victory FC O/U 1.55.0%—5¢95¢
46Melbourne Victory FC O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢
47Melbourne Victory FC O/U 3.55.0%—5¢95¢
48Melbourne Victory FC O/U 4.55.0%—5¢95¢
49Melbourne Victory FC O/U 5.55.0%$55¢95¢
50South Melbourne FC 1st Half O/U 0.55.0%$85¢95¢
51South Melbourne FC 1st Half O/U 1.55.0%—5¢95¢
52South Melbourne FC 1st Half O/U 2.55.0%$55¢95¢
53South Melbourne FC 1st Half O/U 3.55.0%$105¢95¢
54Melbourne Victory FC 1st Half O/U 0.55.0%—5¢95¢
55Melbourne Victory FC 1st Half O/U 1.55.0%—5¢95¢
56Melbourne Victory FC 1st Half O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢
57Melbourne Victory FC 1st Half O/U 3.55.0%$105¢95¢
58Melbourne Victory FC 2nd Half O/U 1.55.0%—5¢95¢
59Melbourne Victory FC 2nd Half O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢
60Melbourne Victory FC 2nd Half O/U 3.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Australia Cup game, scheduled for October 10 at 4:35 AM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:33 AM
    0X0x308B1E7A84063FaDB76027a61b5250cdf23Fb223-1780163893792
    $25.00

    Bought 113.636364 Over for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.22

  • 09:32 AM
    0X0x5caac32F68c19aeAB0023F12726B9a9645184831-1779438789697
    $19.00

    Sold 100 Melbourne Victory FC for Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5) at 0.19

  • 09:32 AM
    ——
    $40.00

    Bought 50 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.8

  • 09:30 AM
    ——
    $30.00

    Bought 40 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.75

  • 09:30 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 6.333334 Yes for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.45

  • 09:27 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $26.62

    Bought 39.731342 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.67

  • 09:27 AM
    0O0oooo
    $15.00

    Bought 22.38806 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 09:24 AM
    FIFishy-Acrrrer
    $190.00

    Bought 200 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.95

  • 09:24 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $141.75

    Bought 405 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.35

  • 09:23 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.40

    Bought 10 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.34

  • 09:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $6.95

    Bought 13.9 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.5

  • 09:18 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $18.05

    Bought 36.1 Under for South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

7A1
0x7a3d…4d49
Event PnL
-$479.03
Volume
$40,178.36
Positions
Over
CA2
Cactus-001
Event PnL
+$8.84
Volume
$17,647.30
Positions
UnderUnderSouth Melbourne FC
XA3
Xander-XX
Event PnL
+$8.19
Volume
$16,384.00
Positions
Under
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$2,614.03
Volume
$7,373.49
Positions
UnderUnderMelbourne Victory FC+11
695
0x69E3…1163
Event PnL
-$3,972.60
Volume
$7,037.55
Positions
OverOver
B56
0xB595…6105
Event PnL
+$49.30
Volume
$6,800.00
Positions
UnderUnder
DR7
Dreamwire
Event PnL
-$23.55
Volume
$5,165.17
Positions
OverSouth Melbourne FC
FL8
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$1,464.19
Volume
$4,748.84
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+10

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "South Melbourne FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, 2nd Half O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 950% win probability, followed by South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 950% and South Melbourne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 at 950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $85.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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