ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

$282K Vol
Nov 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alexander Zverev 72.5%
Rafael Jodar 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar follows in second place at 7,150%, while ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner sits in third with 6,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $282K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $456 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner (6,800%): Sitting in third place with a 6,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner (6,400%), ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.5 (5,450%), and ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.57450.0%$4567450¢-7350¢
2ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar7150.0%$260.0K7150¢-7050¢
3ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner6800.0%$686800¢-6700¢
4ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner6400.0%$6.0K6400¢-6300¢
5ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.55450.0%$4515450¢-5350¢
6ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.55000.0%$1185000¢-4900¢
7ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.55000.0%$8.9K5000¢-4900¢
8ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.54550.0%$5.0K4550¢-4450¢
9ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%$1.0K4100¢-4000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Rafael Jodar in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:10 PM
    BAbaciouny
    $5.00

    Bought 6.944445 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    MIMigRodr
    $7,093.60

    Bought 23645.334334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 12:10 PM
    ——
    $14.85

    Bought 20.625 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    0X0x8ee758dB003028735fbEDF89be7f48A3DAc28291-1794737202477
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388889 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:06 PM
    TOtoninhotz
    $5.15

    Bought 11.444445 Alexander Zverev for Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Rafael Jodar (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:05 PM
    MAmainz
    $135.44

    Bought 190.756389 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:03 PM
    CHChungChung1
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    EKEksantik
    $7.75

    Bought 10.915493 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    DADaigiadinhngocson
    $200.00

    Bought 281.690141 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0x0Ae0FCC13Eb698A01EE3D6431AA430057267c51e-1791505730076
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 11:59 AM
    0X0x5666090A964238825D100B2B7e241B135976682a-1768874604029
    $140.61

    Bought 198.042251 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MI1
MigRodr
Event PnL
-$344.50
Volume
$40,351.82
Positions
Rafael Jodar
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$71.46
Volume
$14,217.35
Positions
Alexander ZverevRafael JodarUnder 2.5
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$192.24
Volume
$12,816.07
Positions
Alexander Zverev
FA4
faatchoi01
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Rafael Jodar
HE5
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$3,999.99
Positions
Alexander Zverev
FV6
fvckjumpjanestreet
Event PnL
+$30.70
Volume
$2,496.16
Positions
Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
MA7
manvsrice42
Event PnL
+$0.25
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Alexander Zverev
848
0x84f6…9308
Event PnL
+$12.68
Volume
$1,649.35
Positions
Alexander Zverev

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar"?

As of the latest update, ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 7,150% and ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner at 6,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $282K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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