Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik

$145.6K Vol
Oct 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alexander Zverev 72.5%
Alexander Bublik 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,900% chance of winning. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik follows in second place at 7,250%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 6,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $145.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $50 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik (7,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik maintains a 7,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,250¢.
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,800%): Sitting in third place with a 6,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 Winner (6,600%), Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 21.5 (6,600%), and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner (6,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.58900.0%$508900¢-8800¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik7250.0%$132.8K7250¢-7150¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 Winner6600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 21.56600.0%$746600¢-6500¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner6550.0%$7956550¢-6450¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 22.55800.0%$1.1K5800¢-5700¢
8Completed Match5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
9Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 23.54750.0%$4494750¢-4650¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-1.54700.0%$6.2K4700¢-4600¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.53950.0%$2503950¢-3850¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Game Spread +/-3.53850.0%$2.0K3850¢-3750¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$1.8K3800¢-3700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alexander Bublik.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 13, 2026

  • 12:55 AM
    KIkingsaha19
    $3.00

    Bought 4.225351 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

  • 12:46 AM
    FLFlipso007
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

  • 12:45 AM
    ——
    $9.40

    Bought 13.24 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

  • 12:45 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $999.90

    Bought 3333 Alexander Bublik for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.3

  • 12:37 AM
    ——
    $9.76

    Bought 13.746479 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

  • 12:07 AM
    NInigiri99
    $28.88

    Bought 76 Over 2.5 for Alexander Zverev vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.38

  • 12:07 AM
    USuser0000000
    $12.16

    Bought 32 Over 2.5 for Alexander Zverev vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.38

Oct 12, 2026

  • 11:50 PM
    EVevildexter
    $64.73

    Bought 215.766667 Alexander Bublik for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.3

  • 11:29 PM
    WEwesleygrassif11
    $3.00

    Bought 4.225351 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

  • 10:52 PM
    HIhibachisnow
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Alexander Bublik for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.3

  • 10:47 PM
    00000brokie000
    $124.79

    Bought 231.090728 Alexander Bublik for Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 10:46 PM
    0X0x0Ae0FCC13Eb698A01EE3D6431AA430057267c51e-1791505730076
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Alexander Zverev for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
-$181.21
Volume
$36,249.21
Positions
Alexander Bublik
TE2
tennischamp
Event PnL
-$75.45
Volume
$15,092.84
Positions
Alexander Zverev
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$31.42
Volume
$13,958.65
Positions
Alexander ZverevUnder 2.5Alexander Zverev+2
ON4
one8tyfive
Event PnL
+$68.28
Volume
$13,656.95
Positions
Alexander Bublik
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$53.47
Volume
$10,692.54
Positions
Alexander Zverev
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
+$1,684.64
Volume
$10,439.38
Positions
Alexander ZverevAlexander ZverevUnder
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$45.69
Volume
$9,138.94
Positions
Alexander Zverev
DA8
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
-$36.25
Volume
$7,249.12
Positions
Alexander Bublik

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik"?

As of the latest update, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,900% win probability, followed by Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik at 7,250% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 6,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $145.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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