Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina

$146.8K Vol
Oct 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Federico Cina 100.0%
Elias Ymer 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 50%, while Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $146.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-3.5 (50%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 50% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 50¢.
  • Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$12.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-3.550.0%—50¢50¢
3Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina5.0%$137.5K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Federico Cina in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Federico Cina.

This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Elias Ymer.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:43 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $117.60

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.98

  • 12:42 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $4.80

    Sold 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.04

  • 12:39 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $118.80

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.99

  • 12:34 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $6.00

    Sold 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.05

  • 12:31 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $118.80

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.99

  • 12:30 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $6.00

    Sold 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.05

  • 12:28 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $118.80

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.99

  • 12:27 AM
    DADaily3trades
    $1.37

    Bought 4.151516 Elias Ymer for Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.33

  • 12:27 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $4.80

    Sold 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.04

  • 12:24 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $118.80

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.99

  • 12:23 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $6.00

    Sold 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.05

  • 12:19 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $118.80

    Bought 120 No for Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 0.99

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

XD1
XDownloadtrump
Event PnL
-$1,963.63
Volume
$6,233.77
Positions
Federico Cina
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$108.91
Volume
$5,619.92
Positions
Elias Ymer
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$389.80
Volume
$5,197.33
Positions
Elias Ymer
654
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$140.00
Volume
$3,518.41
Positions
Federico Cina
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$12.42
Volume
$2,608.73
Positions
Federico Cina
A06
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$157.71
Volume
$1,647.31
Positions
Elias Ymer
UP7
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$0.28
Volume
$1,537.28
Positions
Federico Cina
KN8
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$112.50
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Federico Cina

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-3.5 at 50% and Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $146.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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