Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat

$142.6K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yosuke Watanuki 100.0%
Jan Kumstat 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $142.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $139.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%), and Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat9995.0%$139.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$1.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$39995¢-9895¢
5Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Jan Kumstat in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Jan Kumstat.

This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Yosuke Watanuki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 8, 2026

  • 01:28 AM
    0X0x73A42dE112F1105A31DDaea93f8B9D8ae9746692-1774627936100
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Yosuke Watanuki for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.64

Nov 7, 2026

  • 11:43 PM
    CHCharlieEcho71
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Yosuke Watanuki for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.64

  • 11:39 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 Jan Kumstat for Set Handicap: Yosuke Watanuki (-1.5) vs Jan Kumstat (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 11:36 PM
    ——
    $10.05

    Bought 27.17 Jan Kumstat for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.37

  • 11:14 PM
    ——
    $1.50

    Bought 2.34375 Yosuke Watanuki for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.64

  • 11:06 PM
    000000.
    $80.00

    Bought 142.857143 Over for Watanuki vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.56

  • 10:18 PM
    SOSouleeer
    $301.11

    Bought 528.263158 Over for Watanuki vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.57

  • 10:13 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $140.07

    Bought 378.567568 Jan Kumstat for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.37

  • 09:36 PM
    0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064
    $22.40

    Bought 60.540541 Jan Kumstat for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.37

  • 09:09 PM
    VAValientronix
    $4.00

    Bought 10.810811 Jan Kumstat for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.37

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Yosuke Watanuki for Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat at 0.64

  • 08:36 PM
    LIlima0502
    $0.53

    Bought 0.97 Over for Watanuki vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F81
0xF816…8144
Event PnL
-$38.34
Volume
$4,139.09
Positions
Yosuke Watanuki
OM2
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$1.89
Volume
$1,977.06
Positions
Jan Kumstat
FV3
fvckjumpjanes
Event PnL
-$7.50
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Yosuke Watanuki
004
0000.
Event PnL
-$0.34
Volume
$1,330.29
Positions
Over
LK5
lkjasdf
Event PnL
+$18.28
Volume
$1,211.62
Positions
Jan Kumstat
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
+$80.06
Volume
$820.82
Positions
Yosuke WatanukiOver
LE7
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
+$8.35
Volume
$739.86
Positions
UnderJan Kumstat
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$6.98
Volume
$690.12
Positions
Jan Kumstat

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat"?

As of the latest update, Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $142.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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