
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $245K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego | 5.0% | $254.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Lorenzo Sonego in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Lorenzo Sonego.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Adolfo Vallejo.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 1, 2026
- 12:34 PMNEneutralwave23$90.06
Bought 200.133334 Over 2.5 for Adolfo Vallejo vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.45
- 12:12 PM0X0xb4b513bc48279ad795eefedf204aef3936ec1bd4-1793314501478$12.00
Bought 27.272728 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.44
- 12:01 PMOMOmnipollo44$2.00
Bought 3.508772 Lorenzo Sonego for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.57
- 12:00 PMCAcapflip369$169.00
Bought 384.09091 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.44
- 11:40 AMDADaigiadinhngocson$200.00
Bought 454.545455 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.44
- 11:38 AMK2K2899743$1.00
Bought 2.272728 Over 2.5 for Adolfo Vallejo vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.44
- 11:36 AM——$192.67
Bought 437.886364 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.44
- 11:34 AM686827491$5.00
Bought 11.904762 Adolfo Vallejo for Set 1 Winner: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.42
- 11:34 AM686827491$5.00
Bought 11.363637 Over 2.5 for Adolfo Vallejo vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.44
- 11:34 AMK2K2899743$1.00
Bought 2.380953 Adolfo Vallejo for Set 1 Winner: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.42
- 11:07 AM0X0x1793797BDEDAab854f300cf2b587b98B8c644Ebb-1766156231767$5.00
Bought 8.77193 Lorenzo Sonego for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.57
- 10:33 AMFVfvckjumpjanes$9.77
Sold 22.72 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.43
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego"?
As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 at 9,995% and Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $245K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
