
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,055% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 4,950%, while Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria sits in third with 1,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $312.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 (5,055%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,055¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Completed Match (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
- Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria (1,850%): Sitting in third place with a 1,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-3.5 (110%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-3.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 | 5055.0% | $5 | 5055¢ | -4955¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 4950.0% | $800 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria | 1850.0% | $395.7K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-3.5 | 110.0% | — | 110¢ | -10¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jaime Faria.
This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adolfo Vallejo.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 29, 2026
- 12:15 AMMMmmaker1$26.11
Bought 42.8 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 12:03 AMNEneutralwave23$172.96
Bought 283.540984 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
Sep 28, 2026
- 11:59 PMFEfelixroj$4.20
Bought 6.885246 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 11:49 PMPEPerpswarrior$50.63
Bought 83 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 10:36 PMOMomnibus-076daa$5.36
Bought 8.786884 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 10:01 PMOMomnibus-076daa$6.81
Bought 11.163935 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:54 PMDEdeepmouse$25.00
Bought 40.983607 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:32 PMGBGBSM2$7.05
Bought 11.557376 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:32 PMFLFlaquito$95.30
Bought 156.229507 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:19 PMOMomnibus-076daa$7.96
Bought 13.049179 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:14 PMDADapor$1.00
Bought 1.639343 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
- 09:03 PMLAlarame$4.27
Bought 7 Jaime Faria for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 0.61
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria"?
As of the latest update, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,055% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 4,950% and Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria at 1,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $312.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
