Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov

$5.4K Vol
Nov 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Grigor Dimitrov 52.5%
Adolfo Vallejo 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,800% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,400%, while Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $5.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 (5,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
2Completed Match5400.0%$1.6K5400¢-5300¢
3Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$285000¢-4900¢
9Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.54850.0%$2884850¢-4750¢
11Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov4750.0%$3.4K4750¢-4650¢
12Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
13Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.54100.0%$54100¢-4000¢
14Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
15Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%$1313300¢-3200¢
16Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
17Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53000.0%$1313000¢-2900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Grigor Dimitrov in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Grigor Dimitrov.

This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Adolfo Vallejo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 01:16 PM
    0X0xb4b513bc48279ad795eefedf204aef3936ec1bd4-1793314501478
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Grigor Dimitrov for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.52

  • 12:49 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $5.73

    Bought 11.693878 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.49

  • 12:28 PM
    CAcapflip369
    $120.00

    Bought 244.89796 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.49

  • 10:47 AM
    ——
    $15.12

    Bought 28 Grigor Dimitrov for Game Spread: Adolfo Vallejo (-1.5) vs Grigor Dimitrov (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 10:38 AM
    SRsrnpc
    $25.00

    Bought 51.020409 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.49

  • 10:19 AM
    NIniastefania
    $8.00

    Bought 15.384616 Grigor Dimitrov for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.52

  • 10:14 AM
    30300PS
    $23.04

    Bought 48 Over for Vallejo vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.48

  • 09:54 AM
    JCjcacki
    $5.00

    Bought 10.204082 Adolfo Vallejo for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.49

  • 09:45 AM
    ——
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Under for Vallejo vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.56

  • 09:44 AM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Over for Vallejo vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.48

  • 09:43 AM
    0X0x5Aa1944787e24596f841fA34B075c250b4992C8A-1771011996098
    $19.76

    Bought 38 Grigor Dimitrov for Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov at 0.52

  • 09:13 AM
    MAMatrixAttack
    $89.32

    Bought 131.35294 Adolfo Vallejo for Set Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5) at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$3.62
Volume
$1,374.11
Positions
Grigor Dimitrov
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$4.46
Volume
$893.00
Positions
Adolfo Vallejo
843
0x84e0…9041
Event PnL
-$2.40
Volume
$480.77
Positions
Grigor Dimitrov
WA4
wapol-E
Event PnL
-$2.09
Volume
$480.03
Positions
Adolfo VallejoOver
AS5
asdsadfsdfr5
Event PnL
-$159.60
Volume
$380.00
Positions
Yes
DF6
dfsdfsdfB2
Event PnL
+$159.60
Volume
$380.00
Positions
No
8A7
0x8adc…ceaf
Event PnL
-$1.17
Volume
$234.76
Positions
Adolfo Vallejo
UN8
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
+$3.44
Volume
$229.65
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov"?

As of the latest update, Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,800% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,400% and Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $5.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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