Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

$271.5K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Stefanos Tsitsipas 59.4%
Valentin Vacherot 40.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $271.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%), Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 22.5 (9,945%), and Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 (9,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner9995.0%$1.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 23.59950.0%$9309950¢-9850¢
5Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 22.59945.0%$1.1K9945¢-9845¢
6Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.59100.0%$29100¢-9000¢
7Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 2.59050.0%$499050¢-8950¢
8Completed Match5000.0%$3.6K5000¢-4900¢
9Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-2.54350.0%$8524350¢-4250¢
10Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas3880.0%$260.5K3880¢-3780¢
11Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$2.2K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Valentin Vacherot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:49 AM
    1B1bertojosp
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Valentin Vacherot for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.4

  • 12:46 AM
    LIlimitless00
    $162.63

    Bought 417 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 12:46 AM
    LIlimitless00
    $239.91

    Bought 648.4 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:43 AM
    CAcaspar1248
    $0.66

    Bought 1.08 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:38 AM
    LALarics
    $1,115.65

    Bought 1828.934425 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:37 AM
    LOLoko3d2
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:35 AM
    TOTOWERCAPITAL
    $610.00

    Bought 1000 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:34 AM
    LOLoko3d2
    $6.10

    Bought 10 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:22 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

  • 12:21 AM
    NInigiri99
    $12.60

    Bought 30 Over 2.5 for Valentin Vacherot vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.42

  • 12:13 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $5.00

    Bought 12.5 Valentin Vacherot for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.4

  • 12:04 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
kkookkoo
Event PnL
+$6,810.35
Volume
$40,135.28
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$46.06
Volume
$26,300.35
Positions
Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot
RA3
RanaAmariPredicts
Event PnL
+$3,502.44
Volume
$16,290.32
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
KK4
Kkunn
Event PnL
+$3,483.00
Volume
$16,200.00
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
TI5
tinashi1199zz
Event PnL
+$65.44
Volume
$15,779.36
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$5.53
Volume
$12,678.24
Positions
Valentin VacherotUnderUnder
NE7
neutralwave23
Event PnL
+$1.35
Volume
$12,262.96
Positions
Stefanos TsitsipasValentin Vacherot
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$2,662.95
Volume
$12,057.95
Positions
Valentin Vacherot

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas"?

As of the latest update, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,995% and Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $271.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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