Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka

$298.6K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ilya Ivashka 100.0%
Bernard Tomic 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $298.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.59950.0%$2.0K9950¢-9850¢
3Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka5.0%$318.0K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Ilya Ivashka in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Ilya Ivashka.

This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Bernard Tomic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 10:35 PM
    $24.18

    Bought 41.689654 Ilya Ivashka for Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka at 0.58

  • 10:35 PM
    $50.06

    Bought 86.31 Ilya Ivashka for Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka at 0.58

  • 04:27 PM
    0X0xa65c599c826f116B687efd166d77DEB107453Bc1-1775480930386
    $1.00

    Bought 2.33 Bernard Tomic for Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka at 0.43

  • 02:49 PM
    SSsstt2028
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Tomic for Set Handicap: Ivashka (-1.5) vs Tomic (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 03:49 AM
    YIyixinh
    $5.00

    Bought 10.2 Bernard Tomic for Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WE1
Weaseloftheweek
Event PnL
-$21,056.66
Volume
$155,428.99
Positions
Bernard Tomic
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$9,915.23
Volume
$87,114.40
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$4,937.60
Volume
$39,345.59
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
+$5,577.01
Volume
$35,804.65
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
AN5
Antblack
Event PnL
-$3,282.26
Volume
$27,255.23
Positions
Bernard Tomic
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$3,515.55
Volume
$22,255.92
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$1,546.36
Volume
$13,844.73
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
718
0x713b…8695
Event PnL
-$1,335.81
Volume
$10,547.26
Positions
Bernard Tomic

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 at 9,950% and Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $298.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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